Gay Marriage will be legalized in which of the following countries by 2020?

[Franzl]

I think it's going to be a while until Germany actually calls it marriage. There will likely be full equality, but this is one of the more difficult countries in Western Europe on this issue.

Which is odd considering public opinion is comparable to the rest of Europe.

[Franzl]

You never know what Merkel will do. Nobody thought she would abolish conscription or nuclear power either.

That said, her compromise here will likely be full equality in everything but name, possibly including adoption rights. The terminology just doesn't seem to be relevant here, and even the center-left seems to be focused on equality before the law, whatever you want to call it.