MI-Gov, PPP: Snyder in the lead

[dmmidmi]

Link


Snyder 44
Schauer 40


Great news! Snyder is certainly soaring in the polls as a result of Schauercare. And of course his excellent busting of those unions in Detroit before they harm the people.

So, the Nerd--who gets all kinds of free publicity, and gets to tout his public accomplishments on TV regularly--is barely leading someone nobody has heard of, outside of the margin of error. How is this great news for him?

Before the poll came out, I expected Snyder's lead to be in the 6-8 point range.

[dmmidmi]

http://www.mlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/12/michigan_legislature_approves_1.html

Snyder will likely be sharing the ballot with rape insurance referendum I expect him to go down along with it.

He may make it crystal clear that he's in total opposition to the referendum. He did veto this exact bill a year ago. If this referendum is less popular than he is (which I completely expect it to be), there's no way he'd embrace it--especially since he didn't the first time.

[dmmidmi]

http://www.mlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/12/michigan_legislature_approves_1.html

Snyder will likely be sharing the ballot with rape insurance referendum I expect him to go down along with it.

He may make it crystal clear that he's in total opposition to the referendum. He did veto this exact bill a year ago. If this referendum is less popular than he is (which I completely expect it to be), there's no way he'd embrace it--especially since he didn't the first time.

Even if he distances himself from it, there remains the possibility that the referendum will draw people (specifically young single women) to the polls who would not ordinarily turn out in a non-presidential year. Couple that with possible marijuana and gay marriage referendums bringing out young voters, Snyder would be in big trouble.

Snyder and Schauer are tied at 42% in the 18-45 crowd, and Schauer only leads Snyder among women 43-37. Higher turnout probably won't be enough.