MI-Sen, PPP: Land in the lead (user search)
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  MI-Sen, PPP: Land in the lead (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI-Sen, PPP: Land in the lead  (Read 8088 times)
DrScholl
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Posts: 17,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« on: December 10, 2013, 10:16:35 AM »

Two percent in the low forties is soaring? Please. If Land doesn't poll out of the low 40s at some point, she's not winning this race and it's very unlikely she will, as she's from the wrong part of the state. Hoekstra had the same issue, wrong part of the state.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 17,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #1 on: December 11, 2013, 06:17:39 PM »

Name recognition does count and at this point, no one is paying much attention to the race right now. Unless Peters stumbles badly or there is a massive Republican landslide, he wins. You have to remember, when control of the Senate is at stake, that is a good motivator for blue state Democrats to come out.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 17,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #2 on: December 11, 2013, 08:11:10 PM »
« Edited: December 11, 2013, 08:14:12 PM by Invisible Obama »

Actually political geography counts for a lot and for Land to win, she has to completely shut Peters out in Metro Detroit, winning everything, except for Wayne (and keep Peters to 65% there). Considering that the suburbs are drifting less and less Republican, that is tough to achieve. But apparently, it's not appropriate to say that Peters could win, since that's totally delusional.

Realistically, Peters has the better chance of winning, not Land. That's not delusional.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #3 on: December 19, 2013, 02:46:29 PM »

Secretary of State is a fairly non-controversial, anonymous position everywhere, one that isn't really that hard for a Republican to win, because it's not up in presidential years. It's an administrative job, one that doesn't require positions on policy. Land already has refused to comment on a very important ballot measure, which might have worked with a Secretary of State campaign, but won't work with a Senate campaign.
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