Texas Megathread

[RogueBeaver]

Self-Funder Syndrome.

[Indy Texas]

Patrick's severe underperformance in Webb and Nueces counties tells you just how toxic he is to Hispanic voters. (Laredo and Corpus Christi are among the few areas of the state where Hispanics vote Republican in significant numbers.)

[TX Conservative Dem]

Patrick also declared in his victory speech that he intends to SHUT OUT all Texas Democrats in the State Senate by preventing them from getting any chairmanships on major committees.

What's the latest on State Rep. Stefani Carter (R-Dallas) ?

[badgate]

^AP has called it for Koop with 60%

[SteveRogers]

The good news is that Kesha Rogers will not be the Democratic nominee for Senate. The bad news is that David Alameel might be a vampire (according to Kesha Rogers).

[Maxwell]

Best ad of 2014

[jimrtex]

Patrick's severe underperformance in Webb and Nueces counties tells you just how toxic he is to Hispanic voters. (Laredo and Corpus Christi are among the few areas of the state where Hispanics vote Republican in significant numbers.)

Patrick lost Webb 132:140.  96% of voters in Webb County voted a Democratic ballot in the March primary.  For the runoff, Democrats had 65 polling places, and the Republicans 4.

Executive summary: You don't know what you are talking about.

[Indy Texas]

Patrick's severe underperformance in Webb and Nueces counties tells you just how toxic he is to Hispanic voters. (Laredo and Corpus Christi are among the few areas of the state where Hispanics vote Republican in significant numbers.)

Patrick lost Webb 132:140.  96% of voters in Webb County voted a Democratic ballot in the March primary.  For the runoff, Democrats had 65 polling places, and the Republicans 4.

Executive summary: You don't know what you are talking about.

Care to explain Nueces County, then?

I know it must be hard for you, knowing your party just nominated the Second Coming of Pete Wilson.

[Maxwell]

I was seriously surprised Branch lost by so much. Did Paxton ride Patrick coat-tails?

[badgate]

I was seriously surprised Branch lost by so much. Did Paxton ride Patrick coat-tails?

I assume so.

Paxton is heavily favored obviously, but hopefully his indiscretions will get Sam Houston some notable endorsements/attention.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Big question is whether we could see some early internal polling on the Patrick vs Van de Putte matchup ?

Dewhurst is the Indiana Pacers: getting punked by stronger, bigger teams.

[Miles]

Map of Dewhurst's margins in the 2012 vs 2014 runoffs. He did better against Cruz in the blue counties and better against Patrick in the red counties:

[jimrtex]

Patrick's severe underperformance in Webb and Nueces counties tells you just how toxic he is to Hispanic voters. (Laredo and Corpus Christi are among the few areas of the state where Hispanics vote Republican in significant numbers.)

Patrick lost Webb 132:140.  96% of voters in Webb County voted a Democratic ballot in the March primary.  For the runoff, Democrats had 65 polling places, and the Republicans 4.

Executive summary: You don't know what you are talking about.

Care to explain Nueces County, then?

What is your explanation of Webb County?

[CatoMinor]

So it looks like a tea party lady Konni Burton is likely going to take Wendy Davis' State Senate seat. The Democrats are throwing away a Senate district for someone who is guaranteed to lose statewide, this is truly a shocker. I am shocked, shocked I tell you. Who could have seen this coming? [/sarcasm]

[badgate]

So it looks like a tea party lady Konni Burton is likely going to take Wendy Davis' State Senate seat. The Democrats are throwing away a Senate district for someone who is guaranteed to lose statewide, this is truly a shocker. I am shocked, shocked I tell you. Who could have seen this coming? [/sarcasm]

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[RTX]

Unrelated from the recent discussions, but does anyone have a reason why Jefferson County (SE Texas - Beaumont) is still a Democratic-leaning county? Demographic-wise, it seems it should favor Republicans, although not overwhelmingly so. Could it be an anomaly left over from the heavily Democratic South days?

[Donerail]

Unrelated from the recent discussions, but does anyone have a reason why Jefferson County (SE Texas - Beaumont) is still a battleground county? Demographic-wise, it seems it should favor Republicans, although not overwhelmingly so. Could it be an anomaly left over from the heavily Democratic South days?

IIRC it has a very significant black population and a large university.

[Flake]

Unrelated from the recent discussions, but does anyone have a reason why Jefferson County (SE Texas - Beaumont) is still a battleground county? Demographic-wise, it seems it should favor Republicans, although not overwhelmingly so. Could it be an anomaly left over from the heavily Democratic South days?

IIRC it has a very significant black population and a large university.

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[RTX]

Unrelated from the recent discussions, but does anyone have a reason why Jefferson County (SE Texas - Beaumont) is still a battleground county? Demographic-wise, it seems it should favor Republicans, although not overwhelmingly so. Could it be an anomaly left over from the heavily Democratic South days?

IIRC it has a very significant black population and a large university.

I understand what you and Flo are saying, although Waller County, just NW of Harris, is home to the historically black Prairie View A&M, and has roughly similar demographics to Jefferson (if not more D leaning), yet voted ~58-41 for Romney vs. 50.3-48.7 for Obama in Jefferson County.   

[Flake]

Unrelated from the recent discussions, but does anyone have a reason why Jefferson County (SE Texas - Beaumont) is still a battleground county? Demographic-wise, it seems it should favor Republicans, although not overwhelmingly so. Could it be an anomaly left over from the heavily Democratic South days?

IIRC it has a very significant black population and a large university.

I understand what you and Flo are saying, although Waller County, just NW of Harris, is home to the historically black Prairie View A&M, and has roughly similar demographics to Jefferson (if not more D leaning), yet voted ~58-41 for Romney vs. 50.3-48.7 for Obama in Jefferson County.   

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It seems a combination of fewer blacks and more conservatives that separate Waller and Harris.

[Donerail]

Unrelated from the recent discussions, but does anyone have a reason why Jefferson County (SE Texas - Beaumont) is still a battleground county? Demographic-wise, it seems it should favor Republicans, although not overwhelmingly so. Could it be an anomaly left over from the heavily Democratic South days?

IIRC it has a very significant black population and a large university.

I understand what you and Flo are saying, although Waller County, just NW of Harris, is home to the historically black Prairie View A&M, and has roughly similar demographics to Jefferson (if not more D leaning), yet voted ~58-41 for Romney vs. 50.3-48.7 for Obama in Jefferson County.   

Checking Google there have been significant controversies over whether Prairie View A&M students can vote in Waller County; I can't find something similar for Lamar University, so it's likely the university has a more outsized impact. Jefferson also has over 5x the population of Waller, so there's that. More urban liberals.

[Bacon King]

Unrelated from the recent discussions, but does anyone have a reason why Jefferson County (SE Texas - Beaumont) is still a battleground county? Demographic-wise, it seems it should favor Republicans, although not overwhelmingly so. Could it be an anomaly left over from the heavily Democratic South days?

IIRC it has a very significant black population and a large university.

I understand what you and Flo are saying, although Waller County, just NW of Harris, is home to the historically black Prairie View A&M, and has roughly similar demographics to Jefferson (if not more D leaning), yet voted ~58-41 for Romney vs. 50.3-48.7 for Obama in Jefferson County.   

There is a longstanding controversy between Waller County and Prairie View regarding the university students' voting rights. The District Attorney has sued to prevent students from voting at their school address; election officials "accidentally" misplaced about a thousand students' registration cards, just in time to keep them from voting in that year's general; polling locations are as far out of the way as possible; student candidates for local offices routinely get ignored in the voter guides, etc

[TX Conservative Dem]

Even if Davis wasn't running for statewide office this year, the State Senate seat (District 10) was going to be gone regardless.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Badgate, you know Abbott vs Davis (Gov) and Patrick vs Van de Putte (LG) look like an old newscast team:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jD242k5qg60

[badgate]

Why is this post directed at me? lol