Election results as % of VAP, 1980-2012 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 02, 2024, 02:26:48 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Election results as % of VAP, 1980-2012 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Election results as % of VAP, 1980-2012  (Read 1619 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: November 21, 2013, 10:06:53 AM »

Since we've got this, it's pretty easy to make some maps factoring in turnout in a candidate's performance. I chose VAP rather than VEP because the difference in eligibility laws could bias the results.

I'll start with an evolution of the Democratic vote from 1980-2012 (interesting fact: in every election from 1984 to 2008, the dem % of VAP has systematically increased - 2012 was the first to reverse the trend, though even there Obama did better than any of his predecessors since LBJ).

I used increments of 5%, so shades are worth half of their normal Atlas values (>20% is >10%, >70% is >35%, etc.).

1980:




1984:




1988:




1992:




1996:




2000:




2004:




2008:




2012:

Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 22, 2013, 02:47:13 AM »

Related chart:

Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #2 on: November 22, 2013, 12:18:18 PM »

...so nobody cares?
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #3 on: November 23, 2013, 11:28:40 AM »

...OK Cry
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #4 on: November 23, 2013, 05:31:44 PM »

I just don't really understand the maps. So this is measuring turnout as a factor in the Democratic candidate's performance? I'm just a little lost, sorry.

It's exactly what it says on the tin: the candidate's vote divided by the voting age population. So yeah, you could say it measures turnout as a factor in the Democratic candidate's performance. Wink
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.207 seconds with 12 queries.