The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread (user search)
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  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 47447 times)
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,181
« on: November 05, 2013, 08:32:01 PM »
Usually the more suburban parts of the NOVA counties report first, the inner precincts report last.  So I think the margins might tick up more in the Democrats favor.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,181
« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2013, 08:37:38 PM »
I don't think this is as close as everyone is saying, I'd be shocked if it's only 2 points.  McAuliffe is only behind by 3 points and 75% of Fairfax hasn't been counted.  Almost none of Charlottesville has been counted, there are still a lot of votes in Arlington and Alexandria as well...
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,181
« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2013, 08:49:40 PM »
As I noted before would probably happen, McAuliffe's margin is expanding in the northern counties, especially Fairfax.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,181
« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2013, 09:11:28 PM »
Nothing or hardly anything in from Charlottesville or Fairfax City.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,181
« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2013, 09:15:04 PM »
McAuliffe is about even now, Fairfax County is still 1/3 out.  Why aren't they calling this yet?
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2013, 09:19:36 PM »
Quote from: CTRattlesnake on November 05, 2013, 09:16:39 PM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 05, 2013, 09:15:04 PM
McAuliffe is about even now, Fairfax County is still 1/3 out.  Why aren't they calling this yet?

Ratings boost?

Maybe, but usually they like to brag about being the first to call a race... it seems safe to call this at this point.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2013, 09:21:30 PM »
Didn't realize the southeastern cities haven't really reported yet either.  They need to just call this.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2013, 09:23:28 PM »
McAuliffe might actually outperform Obama in Fairfax.  
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2013, 09:26:03 PM »
Margin continues to grow in all of the NOVA counties.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2013, 09:36:55 PM »
These networks are pathetic.  McAuliffe up 10,000 votes or so and almost all precincts left are in democratic areas and most STILL haven't called this.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2013, 09:44:38 PM »
Quote from: shua on November 05, 2013, 09:41:29 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on November 05, 2013, 09:39:39 PM
Terry McAuliffe is officially the projected winner.

where's barfbag when we need him?

he's at home barfing into a bag.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2013, 10:01:53 PM »
Not convinced the libertarian hurt Cuccinelli as much as the GOP is spinning, he did best among 18-29 year olds who otherwise were going strongly for McAuliffe...

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/local/2013-elections/exit-polls/
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2013, 10:06:37 PM »
Quote from: Mehmentum on November 05, 2013, 10:05:13 PM
Don't start blaming Sarvis.  The reason why Republicans are voting for Sarvis are because of how extreme Cuccinelli is.  There is only one person to blame for the Republican's defeat and that is Cuccinelli (well, him and everyone who voted for him.)

This!!!!
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2013, 10:07:51 PM »
Quote from: Anton Kreitzer on November 05, 2013, 10:06:42 PM
So McAuliffe's won this... oh well, you win some and you lose some. In an alternate universe where VA Governors can hold consecutive terms, I don't think McDonnell would have done as well as Cuccinelli did.

Still, McAuliffe didn't do as well as I thought he would, my prediction was:

McAuliffe: 49%
Cuccinelli: 46%
Sarvis: 4%


A 3 point margin can still happen, almost all the outstanding votes are from democratic precincts.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2013, 10:43:58 PM »
I like how Republicans are already spinning Cuccinelli's loss.  The fact is this was an off-year election where democratic turnout is always lower.  If you look at McAuliffe and the down ballot candidate's margins in most of the key districts they are roughly the same as Obama's, the only different is turnout was slightly higher in republican areas in relative terms.

The results here are actually terrible news for Republicans... they're finding it harder and harder to win statewide office in Virginia even in off year elections.  

Also, you have to assume the democrats are going to nominate someone less awful for President in 2016, whereas the republicans will probably nominate someone equally as awful as Cuccinelli.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,181
« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2013, 10:48:32 PM »
how come nobody is talking about the hideous creature running for Lt. Governor and his impact on the race?  Looks like less people voted for Lt. Governor than for Attorney General.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2013, 10:51:45 PM »
looks like the exit polls show that the two biggest regional trends over 2009 were the far out DC suburbs moving further to the left and the southwestern part of the state moving further to the right.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2013, 11:02:29 PM »
it says 20 precincts left but when you look at the counties they are almost all reported.  I don't see any counties with a lot of precincts left.  I think that might be an error.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2013, 11:27:29 PM »
um, according to the Washington post site, most of the outstanding vote is in democratic counties.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2013, 11:30:19 PM »
Virginia is ridiculously gerrymandered.  Most of the democrats won with over 70% of the vote or were unopposed.  Most of the republicans won with 51-55% of the vote, even in areas that are democratic overall like NOVA.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #20 on: November 05, 2013, 11:36:02 PM »
wow margin is like 800 votes now.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2013, 11:39:50 PM »
where are the remaining precincts?  anyone know?
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2013, 11:43:00 PM »
there is obviously going to be a recount.  

didn't someone say there were also like 10,000 absentee ballots from Fairfax or some other big county?
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #23 on: November 05, 2013, 11:47:33 PM »
The prince William precincts will probably be the largest and the late reporting ones will all be in the more "urban" areas so they will be a big boost to the D depending how many.  The others will all probably go R except maybe Norfolk depending where it is.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181
« Reply #24 on: November 05, 2013, 11:53:03 PM »
is Newport News all in?
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