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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: The OFFICIAL 2013 Election Results Thread  (Read 41061 times)
Beezer
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« Reply #125 on: November 05, 2013, 08:36:34 pm »

48-45 Coochy. Leading by 40,000.
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User157088589849
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« Reply #126 on: November 05, 2013, 08:36:54 pm »

It is clear that McAuliffe is running behind Obama in Southern Virgina urban areas.

he's taking a beating in the south east. the numbers are awful.
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sg0508
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« Reply #127 on: November 05, 2013, 08:37:03 pm »

And here comes northern VA.  57% in now and the candidates are near even.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #128 on: November 05, 2013, 08:37:21 pm »

61% reporting:

Kook +3.5%
Obenshain +6%
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #129 on: November 05, 2013, 08:37:38 pm »

I don't think this is as close as everyone is saying, I'd be shocked if it's only 2 points.  McAuliffe is only behind by 3 points and 75% of Fairfax hasn't been counted.  Almost none of Charlottesville has been counted, there are still a lot of votes in Arlington and Alexandria as well...
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Flake
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« Reply #130 on: November 05, 2013, 08:37:45 pm »

http://electionresults.virginia.gov/ShowMap.aspx?iframe&cat=CTY&rid=315&type=SWR&osn=4&pty=0&cty=0&map=CTY

This map is straight from the Virginia Board of Elections! Cheesy
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User157088589849
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« Reply #131 on: November 05, 2013, 08:39:37 pm »


thanks Smiley i hope norfolk looks better there.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #132 on: November 05, 2013, 08:39:42 pm »

61.16% in:

Cuccinelli: 48.03%
McAuliffe: 44.66%
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shua
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« Reply #133 on: November 05, 2013, 08:40:16 pm »

Norfolk  county numbers are shocking for the democrats. They are waaay behind there on 2012 levels.

There's only a minority of precincts reporting so far.  (and it's actually the City of Norfolk)
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #134 on: November 05, 2013, 08:42:22 pm »

Sarvis continues to hold steady at 7%.
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jaichind
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« Reply #135 on: November 05, 2013, 08:42:32 pm »

If I were Cuccinelli I would be very angry at Sarvis.  Without Sarvis it seems that Cuccinelli would have a good chance to win looking at these results.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #136 on: November 05, 2013, 08:42:39 pm »

I think T-Mac will win by 3% or so. Which means a pure tossup for AG, if the relationship between those two races stays the same.
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memphis
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« Reply #137 on: November 05, 2013, 08:42:58 pm »

So, they're changing the exit polls to conform with the actual results? Doesn't that defeat the purpose of having exit polls?
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cinyc
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« Reply #138 on: November 05, 2013, 08:44:17 pm »

So, they're changing the exit polls to conform with the actual results? Doesn't that defeat the purpose of having exit polls?

That's what they always do.
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ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #139 on: November 05, 2013, 08:44:31 pm »

If I were Cuccinelli I would be very angry at Sarvis.  Without Sarvis it seems that Cuccinelli would have a good chance to win looking at these results.
Hopefully it will send a message to my party that sane, non Tea Party libertarians are the future of our party.
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jaichind
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« Reply #140 on: November 05, 2013, 08:44:34 pm »

So, they're changing the exit polls to conform with the actual results? Doesn't that defeat the purpose of having exit polls?

Yes.  But this what they did in 2004.  All exit polls had Kerry winning in swing states and then as the results came in for Bush, THEY CHANGED THE EXIT POLLS.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #141 on: November 05, 2013, 08:44:39 pm »

Christie is at 60% with 3% of precincts reporting. Buono has 38%.
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Beezer
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« Reply #142 on: November 05, 2013, 08:44:43 pm »

68% in, Coochy by 30,000 votes (47.5-45.2).
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User157088589849
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« Reply #143 on: November 05, 2013, 08:45:00 pm »

2012 Chesterfield county 53-45 Romney +8
2013 Chesterfield county 49-41 Cuccinelli +8

2-3pt race.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #144 on: November 05, 2013, 08:45:47 pm »

If I were Cuccinelli I would be very angry at Sarvis.  Without Sarvis it seems that Cuccinelli would have a good chance to win looking at these results.

"My platform is so repugnant that a sizable part of the Republican/conservative-leaning electorate refuses to vote for me. Therefore it's all the fault of the man they're choosing to vote for instead."
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Scott
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« Reply #145 on: November 05, 2013, 08:45:55 pm »

So what happens if Sarvis gets at least 10% of the vote?  Will it just be easier for Libertarians to get on the ballot in Virginia?
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #146 on: November 05, 2013, 08:45:59 pm »

They always change the exit polls. They compare the results from the precincts they polled once they come in to their survey results. That's how they're then able to call the race before 100% of votes are counted.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #147 on: November 05, 2013, 08:46:17 pm »

Update:

65% In

Virginia Governor:

McAuliffe (D) - 44.5%
Cuccinelli (R) - 48.4%
Sarvis (L) - 7.1%

Lt. Governor:

Northam (D) - 52.4%
Jackson (R) - 47.6%

Attorney General:

Herring (D) - 46.5%
Obershain (R) - 53.5%

New Jersey Governor (5% in)

Christie (R) - 61.1%
Buono (D) - 37.4%
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memphis
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« Reply #148 on: November 05, 2013, 08:46:42 pm »

If I were Cuccinelli I would be very angry at Sarvis.  Without Sarvis it seems that Cuccinelli would have a good chance to win looking at these results.
The exit poll shows Sarvis doing better with liberals and independents than conservatives. In particular, he's getting a large number of young people. I'm not sure that I trust these exit polls, but they don't suggest that he is drawing Cuccinelli voters.
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jaichind
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« Reply #149 on: November 05, 2013, 08:46:45 pm »

What is interesting is that Sarvis is running strong in places where Cuccinelli is running strong AND McAuliffe running about the same as Obama.  This means that  Sarvis took votes away from  Cuccinelli big time.
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