Post your detailed 2013 General Election Predictions here

[Tender Branson]

VA:

50.4% Terry McAuliffe (D)
43.0% Ken Cuccinelli (R)
  6.5% Robert Sarvis (L)
  0.1% Write-Ins

NJ:

62.8% Chris Christie (R)
35.5% Barbara Buono (D)
  1.7% Others

NYC:

68.2% Bill de Blasio (D)
25.8% Joe Lhota (R)
  3.1% Adolfo Carrion (I)
  2.9% Others

[NewYorkExpress]

NJ
Governor;
Chris Christie 58%
Barbara Buono 36%
Kenneth Kaplan 3%
Steven Welzer 1.5%
Others 1.5%

State Assembly;
Democrats 44 Seats
Republicans 36 Seats


Virginia;

Governor
Terry McAuliffe 51%
Ken Cuccinelli 42%
Robert Sarvis 6.75%

Lt. Governor

Ralph Northam 56%
E.W Jackson 43%
Other 1%

Attorney General
Mark Obershain 50.18%
Mark Herring 49.01%

House of Delegates
Republicans 57 Seats
Democrats 42 Seats
Independant/Third Party 1 Seat

Mayor St. Petersburg (runoff)
Bill Foster 51%
Rick Kriesman 49%

Minneapolis Minnesota Mayor;
Betsy Hodges 21%
Cam Woodruff 15%
Mark Andrew 13%
Don Samuels 7%
Kurtis Hanna 5%
Christopher Clark 3%


Boston Mayor (runoff)

John Connolly 52%
Marty Walsh 47%

New York City Mayor
Bill De Blasio 68%
Joe Lhota 31%
Adolfo Carrion 0.6%

Brooklyn DA
Charles Hynes 50%
Ken Thompson 49.97%

Nassau County Executive
Ed Mangano 52%
Tom Suozzi 46%

Westchester County Executive
Rob Astorino 51%
Noam Branson 48%




 

[TX Conservative Dem]

New Jersey Governor: Christie (R) wins reelection: 63-33 over Buono (D), but could he sweep all of the state's 15 counties ?

Virginia Governor: I'm still undecided on this one and until I see an official poll the day before Tuesday, I'll make my prediction on this one. TOSS-UP

VA Lieutenant Governor: Northam (D) defeats Jackson (R): 56-43 or 59-39 because Jackson is a horrible campaigner and horrible person.

VA State Attorney General: Obenshain (R) defeats Herring: 50-49 in a close race. No Democrat has won the Commonwealth's Law Enforcement Post since 1989.

Houston Mayor: Annise Parker (D-inc.) wins reelection to her 3rd and final two-year term over Ben Hall (D) in the runoff, 57-39. However, Parker could win without a runoff on Tuesday since Hall is LAZY in launching TV ads this late in the game. He should have started running TV ads in the summer (June/July) in order to get Houstonians know who he is and what he stands for.

Detroit Mayor: Duggan (D) over Napoleon (D): 55-45: making him the first Anglo mayor electefd since 1970.

Atlanta Mayor: Reed (D-inc) wins reelection, but after that, he's got statewide aspirations (mainly Governor in 2018 when Deal is out of the way).

NYC Mayor: DeBlasio (D) wins Gracie Mansion for the first time for the Dems since 1989.

[Niemeyerite]

VA:

52% Terry McAuliffe (D)
43% Ken Cuccinelli (R)
5% Robert Sarvis (L)

NJ:

62% Chris Christie (R)
36% Barbara Buono (D)
2% Others

NYC:

67% Bill de Blasio (D)
29% Joe Lhota (R)
4% Others

[ElectionsGuy]

VA:

Governor: 51% McAuliffe, 43% Cuccinelli, 6% Sarvis
Attorney General: 51% Herring, 48% Obenshain
Lieutenant Governor: 58% Northam, 40% Jackson

NJ:

Governor/Lt. Governor: 60% Christie, 39% Buono

NYC:

Mayor: 71% de Blasio, 26% Lhota

I'm not going to guess control of NJ or VA chambers as I don't know the district nor the races.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

VA Gov.
McAuliffe   49%
Cuccinelli   44%
Sarvis         6%

VA Lt Gov.
Northam   59%
Jackson    40%

VA Att. Gen.
Obenshain  51%
Herring       49%

VA House of Delegates
62 Republican
38 Democrats

NJ  Gov.
Christie  62%
Buono  36%
others  2%

NYC Mayor
de Blasio  68%
Lhota      30%
others 2%

Boston Mayor
Walsh   52%
Connolly 48%

[Tender Branson]

Sarvis seems to hold steady and is not fading.

I updated my predictions.

[Skill and Chance]

Sarvis seems to hold steady and is not fading.

I updated my predictions.

Yep.  If Sarvis can hold up this well, Bolling could have kicked both of the weirdos to the curb as an I if had he taken the chance.

[Flake]

Virginia Governor
Terry McAuliffe  49.36%
Ken Cuccinelli   38.98%
Robert Sarvis   11.66%

Virginia Lieutenant Governor
Ralph Northam   58.53%
E.W. Jackson    39.47%

Virginia Attorney General
Mark Herring      52.36%
Mark Obenshain 47.64%

Virginia House
58 Republican
42 Democrats

Virginia Senate
22 Democrats
18 Republicans

New Jersey Governor
Chris Christie     57.33%
Barbara Buono  39.65%
others  3.01%

New Jersey House
43 Democrats
37 Republicans

New Jersey Senate
26 Democrats
14 Republicans

New York City Mayor
Bill de Blasio   69.99%
Joseph Lhota  27.54%
others 2.47%

[Miles]

Virginia Senate
26 Democrats
14 Republicans

huh?

[Skill and Chance]

Virginia Senate
26 Democrats
14 Republicans

huh?

Even if VA state senate was up, that would require Democrats winning every district <55% Romney in the state!

[Flake]

Virginia Senate
26 Democrats
14 Republicans

huh?

Even if VA state senate was up, that would require Democrats winning every district <55% Romney in the state!

Oops I messed up Virginia and New Jersey

[ElectionsGuy]

Sticking to the main statewide races.

New Jersey:

Governor: 61% Christie, 38% Buono
State Senate: Democrats maintain control
State House: Democrats maintain control

Virginia:

Governor: 51% McAuliffe, 43% Cuccinelli, 6% Sarvis
Lt. Governor: 59% Northam, 40% Jackson
Attorney General: 51% Herring, 49% Obershain
State House: Republicans maintain control
State Senate: Democrats gain control due to victory in Lt. Governor race (and possibly a gain or two of open seats)

NYC:

Mayor: 70% de Blasio, 27% Lhota

AL-1 Republican Primary Runoff:

53% Young, 47% Byrne

[Eraserhead]

Oops, didn't see this when I made my thread. I guess I'll add my predictions here:

New Jersey Governor

Christie (R) 58%
Buono (D) 41%
Others 1%

New York Mayor

de Blasio (D) 69%
Lhota (R) 28%
Carrion 2%
Others 1%

Lhota narrowly wins Staten Island, de Blasio carries the other four boroughs by massive margins.

Virginia Governor

McAuliffe (D) 49%
Cuccinelli (R) 44%
Sarvis (L) 6%
Write-ins 1%

[Tender Branson]

Sarvis seems to go down now. Updated my predictions on top.

With probably no more polls out, they are my final predictions.

[Mopsus]

New Jersey Governor:

Chris Christie (R) - 62%
Barbara Buono (D) - 36%

Virginia Governor:

Terry McAuliffe (D) - 49%
Ken Cuccinelli (R) - 44%
Robert Sarvis (L) - 6%

I predict that Democrats will win the other two statewide races in Virginia as well, though I don't have any numbers.

[Lambsbread]

NJ: Christie - 65% Buono - 33% Others - 2%
VA: McAuliffe - 47% Cuccinelli - 45% Sarvis - 7% Others - 1%
NYC Mayor: de Blasio - 70% Lhota - 27% Others - 3%

[Lambsbread]

NJ: Christie - 65% Buono - 33% Others - 2%
VA: McAuliffe - 47% Cuccinelli - 45% Sarvis - 7% Others - 1%
NYC Mayor: de Blasio - 70% Lhota - 27% Others - 3%

[Earthling]

Virginia Governor
Terry McAuliffe  48%
Ken Cuccinelli   39%
Robert Sarvis   12%

Virginia Lieutenant Governor
Ralph Northam   57%
E.W. Jackson    40%

Virginia Attorney General
Mark Herring      50%
Mark Obenshain 49%

New Jersey Governor
Chris Christie     61%
Barbara Buono  35%
others  4%

New York City Mayor
Bill de Blasio   67%
Joseph Lhota  29%
others 3%

[jaichind]

VA:
Terry McAuliffe (D)   49%
Ken Cuccinelli (R)    47%
Robert Sarvis (L)       4%


NJ:
Chris Christie (R)    57%
Barbara Buono (D)  41%


NYC:
Bill de Blasio (D)     64%
Joe Lhota (R)          34%


Westchester County Executive
Rob Astorino (R)      53%
Noam Branson (D)   46%

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

VA:
(D) Terry McAuliffe: 48%
(R) Ken Cuccinelli: 46%
(L) Robert Sarvis: 6%

NJ
(R) Chris Christie: 61%
(D) Babs Bouno: 39%

NYC
Bill DiBlasio: 65%
Joe Lhota: 35%

[Maxwell]

Virginia Governor:
52% Former DNC Chairman Terry McAuliffe
43% Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli
5% Former Senate Candidate Robert Sarvis

Virginia Lt. Governor:
58% State Senator Ralph Northam
39% Preacher E.W. Jackson

Virginia Attorney General:
49.5% State Senator Mark Herring
48.9% State Senator Mark Obenshain

New Jersey:
62% Governor Chris Christie
34% State Senator Barbara Buono

Tulsa Mayor:
50.5% Former Mayor Kathy Taylor
49.5% Mayor Dewey Bartlett

[Hifly]

Virginia Senate
22 Democrats
18 Republicans

Where are these two Democratic gains coming from may I ask?

[Ogre Mage]

Virginia Governor

McAuliffe 51%
Cuccinelli 44%
Sarvis 5%


New Jersey Governor

Christie 62%
Buono 37%
Other 1%


New York City Mayor

de Blasio 67%
Lhota 31%
Others 2%

[Skill and Chance]

Virginia Senate
22 Democrats
18 Republicans

Where are these two Democratic gains coming from may I ask?

Well, you could theoretically have 21D/19R if Obenshain wins but McAuliffe rises to FDR/JFK approval levels by the special election and they pick up his 60% Romney seat while holding Northam's...

EDIT: Better idea- the 2 Obama/Kaine seat Republicans in the state senate announce tomorrow night that they are switching parties after a complete Democratic sweep of both their districts.