KS-Survey USA: Davis leads Brownback

[publicunofficial]

Davis 43%, Brownback 39%, Third Party 12%

Davis gets 25% of Republicans, probably a result of Brownback's moderate purge.

[Maxwell]

Oh sh**t.

[Lief 🐋]

Awesome news.

[sxwx]

is this real life

[Miles]

[Gass3268]

We are still a year away, but this could be close.

Dominating!

[Maxwell]

To Davis' credit, he picked a good, albiet dated choice for his Lieutenant Governor candidate (Jill Docking, who got within 10 points of Sam Brownback in his first run for U.S. Senate in 1996 and a daughter-in-law of the Former governor Robert Docking). So perhaps this is where some of this is coming from.

[publicunofficial]

I'd imagine that a lot of the third party votes are coming from Republicans who can't stand Brownback, but can't bring themselves to vote Democrat.


Also of note: Davis gets 58% of moderates, and 75% of people who consider education to be their number one issue; which shows how badly Brownback handled that issue.

[I'm a John Fetterman (or Malcolm Kenyatta) Democrat]

Excellent news! Go Kansas!

[IceSpear]

So much for this being safe R!

[ElectionsGuy]

Oh sh**t.

Well... It's time to start paying attention to this race.

[RogueBeaver]

There's a year left to go and KS is a ruby-red state.

[MR. KAYNE WEST]

There's a year left to go and KS is a ruby-red state.

Just in case of Ct or MI with GOP candidates leading in blue states, state elections don't matter as much as prez campaigns.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

There's a year left to go and KS is a ruby-red state.

A ruby-red state that elected a Democrat as governor in 2 of the last 3 races.

[ElectionsGuy]

There's a year left to go and KS is a ruby-red state.

I would also say this, I don't expect this to last forever.

[MR. KAYNE WEST]

There's a year left to go and KS is a ruby-red state.

I would also say this, I don't expect this to last forever.

If we see Dems like Wendy Davis or this Davis start to take leads in ruby red states, small sign that GOP may lose the House because of GOP gerrymand in Romney districts.  Kasich losing will probably signal that because the rigorous gerrymand.

[Mehmentum]

What's with that 12% third party vote?  The third party vote won't be nearly that large, and I suspect most of those people will end up voting for Brownback.

[ElectionsGuy]

There's a year left to go and KS is a ruby-red state.

I would also say this, I don't expect this to last forever.

If we see Dems like Wendy Davis or this Davis start to take leads in ruby red states, small sign that GOP may lose the House because of GOP gerrymand in Romney districts.  Kasich losing will probably signal that because the rigorous gerrymand.

Wendy Davis will not lead in Texas, and republicans are at one of their lowest points of popularity in modern history. With a year left, I don't see how the environment won't change. I wouldn't say they are going to lose anything as of yet.

[illegaloperation]

There's a year left to go and KS is a ruby-red state.

I would also say this, I don't expect this to last forever.

If we see Dems like Wendy Davis or this Davis start to take leads in ruby red states, small sign that GOP may lose the House because of GOP gerrymand in Romney districts.  Kasich losing will probably signal that because the rigorous gerrymand.

It doubt that Democrats' statewide victory in Kansas (if that is the case) is much of an indication of anything nationwide.

Kansas has elected a number of Democrats for governor over the years.

[tmthforu94]

Fools gold.

[morgieb]

Wow.

Still am unconvinced a true liberal can win here, but....

[LeBron]

There's a year left to go and KS is a ruby-red state.

I would also say this, I don't expect this to last forever.

If we see Dems like Wendy Davis or this Davis start to take leads in ruby red states, small sign that GOP may lose the House because of GOP gerrymand in Romney districts.  Kasich losing will probably signal that because the rigorous gerrymand.

Wendy Davis will not lead in Texas, and republicans are at one of their lowest points of popularity in modern history. With a year left, I don't see how the environment won't change. I wouldn't say they are going to lose anything as of yet.

Wendy Davis is a lost cause, but OC is right about Kasich. If a big liberal like Paul Davis can lead and possibly win in Kansas of all places, then I see no reason why Ed FitzGerald should have a hard time at all in swingy Ohio. Although given that, surprisingly Democrats have won more Governor's elections in Kansas than Ohio since 1990, but I still doubt that changes the likewise scenario in both situations here.

Davis and FitzGerald are both low in name recognition and because of that, the polling suggests Davis counting the 33% who might change their mind and 6% undecided is not home free yet while FitzGerald who has a 3 point lead over Kasich still has 27% of undecided voters mainly from the 62% who don't have an opinion on FitzGerald. The Medicaid expansion is widely liked, but it shouldn't help Kasich out too much especially because of HOW he passed it and he literally thinks he's St. Peter because of the expansion.

.....And I got off-track lol. But imo, right now Davis stands about as good of a chance as Ed FitzGerald in Ohio. Both of them are great, young, appealing and very liberal politicians and the key to maintaining that voter hate of the two Republican Governor's is reminding the constituents that they supported the 1995-1996 shutdown (which is true) and from what a lot of the House of Reps polls have indicated as of late, that connection goes really, really bad for any GOP politician and it's no wonder why.

[pbrower2a]

So much for this being safe R!

Incompetence and extremism can hurt any political party.

[Maxwell]

So much for this being safe R!

Incompetence and extremism can hurt any political party.

To be fair, Davis is making strong opening moves.

[hopper]

There's a year left to go and KS is a ruby-red state.

I would also say this, I don't expect this to last forever.

If we see Dems like Wendy Davis or this Davis start to take leads in ruby red states, small sign that GOP may lose the House because of GOP gerrymand in Romney districts.  Kasich losing will probably signal that because the rigorous gerrymand.

Wendy Davis will not lead in Texas, and republicans are at one of their lowest points of popularity in modern history. With a year left, I don't see how the environment won't change. I wouldn't say they are going to lose anything as of yet.

Wendy Davis is a lost cause, but OC is right about Kasich. If a big liberal like Paul Davis can lead and possibly win in Kansas of all places, then I see no reason why Ed FitzGerald should have a hard time at all in swingy Ohio. Although given that, surprisingly Democrats have won more Governor's elections in Kansas than Ohio since 1990, but I still doubt that changes the likewise scenario in both situations here.

Davis and FitzGerald are both low in name recognition and because of that, the polling suggests Davis counting the 33% who might change their mind and 6% undecided is not home free yet while FitzGerald who has a 3 point lead over Kasich still has 27% of undecided voters mainly from the 62% who don't have an opinion on FitzGerald. The Medicaid expansion is widely liked, but it shouldn't help Kasich out too much especially because of HOW he passed it and he literally thinks he's St. Peter because of the expansion.

.....And I got off-track lol. But imo, right now Davis stands about as good of a chance as Ed FitzGerald in Ohio. Both of them are great, young, appealing and very liberal politicians and the key to maintaining that voter hate of the two Republican Governor's is reminding the constituents that they supported the 1995-1996 shutdown (which is true) and from what a lot of the House of Reps polls have indicated as of late, that connection goes really, really bad for any GOP politician and it's no wonder why.

Why are you comparing the 1995-1996 shutdown to the 2013 shutdown? 1995-1996 the issue of the shutdown not ObamaCare like it was in 2013. House of Reps is for another thread so I won't get into that here.