AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Tight race in Arkansas

[windjammer]

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Sen. Mark Pryor is doing?

34% Approve
48% Disapprove
18% Don’t Know

This poll is strange. With this approval, Cotton should lead by double digits.

[windjammer]

Cotton isn't as well-known, that's why he starts at the baseline. Once he becomes familiar to people outside his district the numbers will move, as Harry Enten said back in August.

Yes, I don't think it will stay a toss up. Or Cotton will take a lead or Pryor will successfully tie him with the most extremist republicans (Farm Bill, student loans,...)

[windjammer]

Some people always seem to underestimate Pryor and overestimate Cotton. You shouldn't.

[windjammer]

I have the feeling Pryor will survive. Cotton is too far on the right, even for Arkansas, not sure they would appreciate if farm bill and student loans would be cut.

EDIT: And Cotton is the typical guy to make an Akin comment!

[windjammer]

Pryor seems to prefer extremely extreme to hopscotch. I don't know where the Akin thing comes from.

Have you seen what he said about women or about black? I agree it's not an akin comment, but it just shows he could easily say an akin comment!

[windjammer]

I have the feeling Pryor will survive. Cotton is too far on the right, even for Arkansas, not sure they would appreciate if farm bill and student loans would be cut.

EDIT: And Cotton is the typical guy to make an Akin comment!

There's no such thing as "too far right for Arkansas" while Obama is president.

Arkansas is a social conservative state, not a far right fiscally conservative state.
And Pryor isn't black, so!