AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Tight race in Arkansas

[RogueBeaver]

Cotton isn't as well-known, that's why he starts at the baseline. Once he becomes familiar to people outside his district the numbers will move, as Harry Enten said back in August.

[RogueBeaver]

I'd say C/H followed by C/R, P/R, P/H. Partly because Cotton and Ross are stronger candidates than their rivals.

[RogueBeaver]

To answer PJ, I think Ross has a better chance than Pryor, though not by much for reasons I've stated before in the gubernatorial thread.

[RogueBeaver]

That's why Cotton's hammering away at the Pryor brand with pointed references to the Senator not putting Arkansas first. Surprised that Pryor hasn't responded to a frontal assault on the brand b) tried Mediscare. Farm bills and student loans are all he's attacked Cotton for on policy, besides being extremely extreme and all that jazz.

[RogueBeaver]

Crossposted from the AR thread: Both men raised $1 million this Q, but Pryor's COH is 4.4-1.8. Not that I think huge # are important in such a cheap media state. Race won't really get underway till next spring IMO. Till then all fundraising and air wars.

[RogueBeaver]

Pryor seems to prefer extremely extreme to hopscotch. I don't know where the Akin thing comes from.