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  AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Tight race in Arkansas (search mode)
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Author Topic: AR: Hendrix College/Talk Business: Tight race in Arkansas  (Read 3161 times)
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Posts: 18,958
United States

Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48

« on: October 14, 2013, 03:29:31 pm »

Statistical tie. Right now looks like a pure toss-up, but look at this...

Do you approve or disapprove of the job that President Barack Obama is doing?

34% Approve
62% Disapprove

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Sen. Mark Pryor is doing?

34% Approve
48% Disapprove

Who do you blame most for the federal government shutdown?

40% President Obama and the Democrats
35% Republicans in Congress
24% Both are equally to blame

Obama's approval is even worse than the 37% of the vote he got in Arkansas in 2012. And a 48-34 disapproval is horrible for an incumbent up for re-election. On top of that, a plurality of people blame the democrats and Obama for the shutdown! Republicans have a massive blame lead in the polls but not in red state Arkansas. This is amazing what were seeing here besides the original question. Also:

Anyone want to give the respective percentages of the odds of each of these things happening?

Pryor & Ross Win: 20%
Pryor & Hutchison Win: 30%
Cotton & Ross Win: 10%
Cotton & Hutchison Win: 40%
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