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Author Topic: German Elections & Politics  (Read 663159 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #150 on: July 20, 2015, 12:38:00 PM »
Quote from: Beezer on July 20, 2015, 10:42:52 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on July 19, 2015, 01:13:38 PM
Quote from: Lyndon Bane Johnson on July 19, 2015, 12:41:32 PM
Former AfD leader Bernd Lucke and his followers have founded their own party.... the Allianz für Fortschritt und Aufbruch, shortened ALFA.

How do we best translate this new party name into English for our English-speaking friends on here ?

"Alliance for Progress & Awakening" ?

"Alliance for Progress & Upswing" ?

"Alliance for Progress & Departure" ?

"Alliance for Progress & Decampment" ?

"Alliance for Progress & Liftoff" ?

Is there any real English term for the word "Aufbruch" ?

Wikipedia has chosen "renewal" and that sounds rather accurate.

Well, I guess they had to choose some word ... Tongue

Even though "renewal" actually means "Erneuerung" and in German that is quite something else than a "Aufbruch".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #151 on: October 13, 2015, 08:51:00 AM »
I wonder if the migrant crisis will also lead to higher turnout in German state elections in March 2016 (BW, RP and SA) - like it did in Upper Austria and Vienna.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #152 on: October 25, 2015, 06:45:02 AM »
CDU/CSU reach their lowest level in more than 3 years:

EMNID

36% CDU/CSU (-7% compared with 2 months ago)
26% SPD (+2)
10% Greens (nc)
10% Left (nc)
  7% AfD (+4)
  5% FDP (+1)
  6% Others (nc)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #153 on: October 28, 2015, 04:32:36 PM »
Quote from: Beezer on October 18, 2015, 03:36:36 AM
CDU/CSU ... worst result since 2013 and 6 points below where they were 2 months ago.

Quote from: Yeahsayyeah on October 28, 2015, 06:43:01 AM
Rumours go, the CSU is considering to withdraw their ministers from the cabinet, says Germany's biggest tabloid.

Good.

Merkel and CDU/CSU deserve all their recent troubles and collapsing poll numbers.

After all, Merkel was elected by the German citizens/voters to serve their interests and not the interests of the millions of migrants, which Rabenmutti now suddenly wants to crowd into the country.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #154 on: November 01, 2015, 06:54:59 AM »
Quote from: CrabCake the Liberal Magician on October 29, 2015, 06:08:24 PM
If the CSU go turncoat, I hope the CDU finally runs in Bavaria and kills off the bums from Bavaria for good. I will then officially retract every mean thing I've said about mutti merkel.

A new poll actually shows the opposite:

Many non-Bavarian Germans have a desire for a CDU in their own state that is more like the CSU.

A federal CSU would get 14.5% of the vote, twice the number of their 2013 share.

The federal CDU would drop from their 34% in 2013 to 27.5%

What's also interesting: If CDU and CSU would decide to run seperately, their combined share would increase from 35% now to 42% (mostly because the pollster argues that many AfD voters would switch over to the federal CSU).

http://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article148230658/Dieses-Potenzial-wuerde-die-CSU-bundesweit-entfalten.html
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #155 on: November 10, 2015, 02:06:21 PM »
The dates for all 5 state elections in 2016 are now finalized:

13 March ("Super Sunday")Sad

Baden-Württemberg (10.8 Mio. people), Rheinland-Pfalz (4.1 Mio.), Sachsen-Anhalt (2.2 Mio.)

4 September:

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (1.6 Mio.)

18 September:

Berlin (3.6 Mio.)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #156 on: November 12, 2015, 03:20:42 PM »
No surprise: Our left-leftist friends are professionals in reality-denying.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #157 on: November 29, 2015, 06:24:05 AM »
A new poll shows every 2nd German now wants Merkel to retire after this term is over in 2017.

47% of those polled disapprove of Merkel's handling of the migrant crisis, just 40% approve.

http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/umfrage-48-prozent-gegen-weitere-amtszeit-merkels-a-1065082.html
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #158 on: December 04, 2015, 01:39:05 AM »
AfD at 10% in the new Infratest dimap poll:
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #159 on: December 06, 2015, 05:59:17 AM »
Sachsen-Anhalt state election (March 13) poll by INSA:

35.0% CDU (+2.5)
23.0% Left (-1.0)
15.5% SPD (-6.0)
13.5% AfD (+13.5)
  6.0% Greens (-1.0)
  3.0% FDP (-1.0)
  4.0% Others (-7.0)

Majorities for CDU-SPD & CDU-AfD, but not for Left-SPD-Greens.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #160 on: December 10, 2015, 01:57:15 PM »
New Rheinland-Pfalz state election (in March) poll (by Infratest dimap for SWR):
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #161 on: December 10, 2015, 02:15:45 PM »

They have 48% right now compared with 48% for the other parties, so it's unclear.

But the coming state elections in March will all be interesting (Red-Green having no majority anymore in RP, and neither does the Green-Red coalition in Baden-Württemberg).

The AfD will gain across the board, maybe getting 10% or more in the 2 south-western states and 15-20% in the eastern Sachsen-Anhalt.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #162 on: January 07, 2016, 04:49:24 AM »
The following parties will be on the Rheinland-Pfalz state election ballot on March 13:
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #163 on: January 07, 2016, 04:55:17 AM »
"Der 3. Weg" (The Third Way) is a Neo-Nazi party, btw.

Could also be named "The Third Reich" instead ... Tongue

...

I also thought "Die Einheit" (Unity) was Neo-Nazi, but it's actually a pro-migrant party.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #164 on: January 07, 2016, 08:26:03 AM »
Quote from: DavidB. on January 07, 2016, 06:19:08 AM
What are the ideological differences between Der 3. Weg and the NPD?

Their party names ?

Wink
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #165 on: January 12, 2016, 04:35:22 AM »
First polling after the Cologne "incidents" shows the AfD at a new record-high and the SPD at a new record low (CDU/CSU is also pretty low):

35.0% CDU/CSU
21.5% SPD
11.5% AfD
10.0% Greens
10.0% Left
  6.0% FDP
  6.0% Others
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #166 on: January 15, 2016, 03:18:40 PM »
Quote from: Beezer on January 14, 2016, 08:40:50 AM
Polls for March state elections

Saxony-Anhalt

AfD 15 %

Rhineland-Palatinate

AfD 8 %

Quote from: Beezer on January 14, 2016, 04:54:29 PM
Baden-Württemberg poll (change compared to Dec. 2015):

AfD 10 (+2)

...

Quote from: Tender Branson on December 10, 2015, 02:15:45 PM
The AfD will gain across the board, maybe getting 10% or more in the 2 south-western states and 15-20% in the eastern Sachsen-Anhalt.

My prediction (even before the Cologne rapes) doesn't look that off now ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #167 on: January 21, 2016, 05:07:56 AM »
Quote from: Sozialliberal on January 20, 2016, 05:45:26 PM
There won't be a state election in Hesse anytime soon, but this poll struck me because I believe it's the first time that a poll suggests that the AfD is the third party in a state of former West Germany.

There's actually a state in which the AfD might soon be 2nd: Hamburg.

New Trend Research/Radio Hamburg poll:

37% SPD (-9)
14% CDU (-2)
13% AfD (+7)
13% Greens (+1)
10% Left (+1)
  8% FDP (+1)
  5% Others (+1)

http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hamburg.htm
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #168 on: January 21, 2016, 05:11:41 AM »
Also, a new ZDF poll for BW confirms yesterday's INSA poll:
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #169 on: January 21, 2016, 05:33:09 AM »
The SWR and the MDR (the main state TV stations in Baden-Württemberg, Rheinland-Pfalz and Sachsen-Anhalt) have refused to let the AfD participate in the TV debates for the March 13 state elections.

This can only help the AfD because ignoring and censoring a party won't go anywhere.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #170 on: January 25, 2016, 01:21:41 AM »
Latest poll from today (Unique Research, n=800) shows the gender gap among FPÖ-voters is small:

34% among men
27% among women

FPÖ-vote overall: 31%

...

By age:

16-29: 33%
30-49: 37%
50+:    25%

http://epaper.heute.at/#/documents/160125_HEU/4
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #171 on: January 27, 2016, 06:57:02 AM »
Isn't the AfD already at 13% in the YouGov poll ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #172 on: January 31, 2016, 10:48:18 AM »
Looks like Germany is getting ready and learn how to "protest-vote" in the March state elections.

Merkel and Co. will see a huge middle-finger from the voters due to her reckless migrant policy ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #173 on: February 16, 2016, 08:14:17 AM »
My results:

71.0% Animal Protection Party
71.0% Animal Protection Alliance
71.0% Free Voters
68.5% Greens
66.1% Left
63.7% The Party
62.9% SPD
59.7% FBM
59.7% The Right
57.3% AfD
54.0% FDP
54.0% ALFA
50.0% NPD
37.9% CDU
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #174 on: February 19, 2016, 01:40:06 AM »
Can't wait for the German voters to show the middle-finger to Merkel.

It's time for her to press the "STOP"-button at her migrant vacuum cleaner and go from welcome policy to determent/deportation policy ...
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