2004 Democratic Primary (user search)
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Author Topic: 2004 Democratic Primary  (Read 439421 times)
DarthKosh
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Posts: 902
« on: October 30, 2003, 02:38:17 PM »
Quote from: jmfcst on October 30, 2003, 12:32:37 PM
Senate GOPers Fail to Break Pickering Filibuster

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,101698,00.html

This will certainly help Barbour.

tick...tick...tick...tick...

It will definitely help the white vote go for Barbour.
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DarthKosh
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Posts: 902
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2003, 02:39:24 PM »
Pennsylvania 10th could also be named anthracite because of the coal was mined here.
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DarthKosh
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Posts: 902
« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2003, 07:13:23 PM »
Quote from: Miamiu1027 on October 31, 2003, 03:58:37 PM
Mississippi: Barbour beats out Musgrove by 2-10%.  But, I really don't care.

Louisiana: 50% chance of either a GOP or a DEM win.  Again, I don't care.

Kentucky: GOP wins.  Period.

I don't care, because, well, none of these states are relatively close to me, and none of them are battlegrounds for 2004 with the unlikely exception of Louisiana.

I'm nowhere them too, but it the only elections for a while.  I don't lousiana will be battleground next year.
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DarthKosh
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Posts: 902
« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2003, 07:15:17 PM »
If Al is pissed off enough at Dean he will run as an independent.  If nader runs too that will be big trouble for the Dems.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
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Posts: 902
« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2003, 07:20:05 PM »
Quote from: Canadian observer on October 31, 2003, 01:30:09 PM
WEST VIRGINIA (3)
1. Boreman (1st WV state governor)
2. Lederer (1st European to explore WV)
3. Coal Mountains

Coal Hills would sound better then Coal Mountains.
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DarthKosh
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Posts: 902
« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2003, 07:23:30 PM »
I hope it is drawn out and not over in a few weeks.  Because it will be more interesting and entertaining if it is drawn out.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
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Posts: 902
« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2003, 04:00:39 PM »
I think the Jindal and Blanco race will be the only close one,  with the republicans picking up to other two.
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DarthKosh
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Posts: 902
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2003, 09:44:31 AM »
Quote from: Realpolitik on November 03, 2003, 04:10:34 AM
Something to remember is Mississippi's majority law:

If no candidate gets 50% +1, the election goes to the State House.

I'd like to see them give it to the dem if gets less votes.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
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Posts: 902
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2003, 09:09:15 PM »

Latest poll has Fletcher up 8 points.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
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Posts: 902
« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2003, 11:51:27 AM »
Quote from: Miamiu1027 on November 04, 2003, 11:47:37 AM
Final Prediction before I go and vote for Steve Levy for County Exectutive here in Suffolk....

GOP wins in Kentucky and Lousiana, and Musgrove wins in the state house in Mississippi.

Levy!  Levy!  Levy!

Final Prediction:

Kentucky-Fletcher
Mississippi-Baebour above 50%.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
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Posts: 902
« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2003, 01:37:58 PM »

That's where Al needs to be with all the others jokes.
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DarthKosh
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Posts: 902
« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2003, 02:21:51 PM »
« Edited: November 04, 2003, 02:24:49 PM by DarthKosh »
Heavy turnout in southern Mississippi which is heavily republican.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
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Posts: 902
« Reply #12 on: November 06, 2003, 05:59:44 PM »
Quote from: hughento on November 06, 2003, 05:01:28 PM
Quote from: agcat on November 06, 2003, 08:19:35 AM
You"re dreaming if you think conservative Va, Mississippi, or South Carolina vote will vote Dem.  I've said this before but kerry, Dean, and company couldn't carry those states if Robert E. Lee was their VP.  And kentucky?  Come on.  Don't look for any Dem noninee to even set foot in those states.  However, I'd love for them to waste time and resources there.  It would be about like the money and time Bush wasted in California the last wk of the 2000 campaign.

Clinton carried kentucky both times, IIRC...

Because Gore was from Tenn and Perot.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
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Posts: 902
« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2003, 02:23:31 PM »
I don't think LA will be that close because Bush won it by seven points.
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DarthKosh
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Posts: 902
« Reply #14 on: November 09, 2003, 10:21:24 AM »
Quote from: Realpolitik on November 09, 2003, 05:28:07 AM
Quote from: DarthKosh on November 08, 2003, 02:23:31 PM
I don't think LA will be that close because Bush won it by seven points.

Which is not a lot

Actually it is a lot.  He won LA against a strong canidate white a high black turnout.  I still believe that Dean will not get a high black turnout.
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DarthKosh
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Posts: 902
« Reply #15 on: November 09, 2003, 11:13:11 AM »
Quote from: Realpolitik on November 09, 2003, 10:35:21 AM
Quote from: DarthKosh on November 09, 2003, 10:21:24 AM
Quote from: Realpolitik on November 09, 2003, 05:28:07 AM
Quote from: DarthKosh on November 08, 2003, 02:23:31 PM
I don't think LA will be that close because Bush won it by seven points.

Which is not a lot

Actually it is a lot.  He won LA against a strong canidate white a high black turnout.  I still believe that Dean will not get a high black turnout.

I don't think that Gore was a strong candidate, but I'll agree that the Flag stuff might stop a high black turnout for Dean.
Maybe he's going for the Yellow Dog vote?

Gore was the strongest canidate the Dems put up in years.  He had record high black turnout and he couldn't win LA that  is why I think Dean does not have a chance of winning it.
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DarthKosh
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Posts: 902
« Reply #16 on: November 09, 2003, 01:53:36 PM »

Clinton positioned himself as a southern moderate.  The whole Dem field with the exception of Edwards and Clark are notherners.  And all are liberals.
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DarthKosh
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Posts: 902
« Reply #17 on: November 09, 2003, 07:45:48 PM »
Quote from: agcat on November 09, 2003, 05:36:46 PM
Neither do any of these three since they aren't going to be nomiated.

Dean is going to be the nom and it is going to hurt the Dems downticket.
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DarthKosh
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Posts: 902
« Reply #18 on: November 10, 2003, 04:03:20 PM »
DC isn't in the south.  WV is the only souther state i think that will be in troble for Bush.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
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Posts: 902
« Reply #19 on: November 10, 2003, 04:07:01 PM »
Quote from: Realpolitik on November 10, 2003, 02:43:35 PM
It's going to be very close.
I will admit to being suprised to see Jindal leading in the New Orleans area and Blanco leading in Northern Lousiana(as at least one poll has), but the prospect of less ethnic voting in the Deep South is wonderful.

The latest poll has Jindal leading in nothern Louisiana.
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DarthKosh
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Posts: 902
« Reply #20 on: November 10, 2003, 09:18:00 PM »
Quote from: agcat on November 10, 2003, 09:01:46 PM
No northern Democrat has carried Georgia since 1960.  Southernor Clinton couldn't even beat inept Dole there in 96.  And it gets worse.  In 2000 southernor Gore got drilled by 12 points by Bush.

And after the mid-terms the state dem party is in shambles.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
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Posts: 902
« Reply #21 on: November 11, 2003, 01:49:09 PM »
Quote from: Dave Leip on November 11, 2003, 11:00:58 AM
Hey,
I have read a lot of good posts on this forum.  As for the 2004 State predictions, I have a proposal:

I'll create a page that highlights your individual predictions.  You could download the main US Map and color it (using my standard 10 point scale) (using red for Democrats and blue for Republicans or green for Independent Smiley).  I'll add a web page interface so that you can upload your maps and add any text descriptions you like.

Comments?
Dave  

That is a great idea!
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902
« Reply #22 on: November 15, 2003, 11:56:46 AM »
« Edited: November 15, 2003, 01:46:15 PM by DarthKosh »
Prediction

Jindal: 54
Blanco: 46
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902
« Reply #23 on: November 15, 2003, 01:45:48 PM »
Quote from: Realpolitik on November 15, 2003, 12:17:37 PM
Er... is that an exit poll or your prediction?

My prediction.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902
« Reply #24 on: November 20, 2003, 03:48:21 PM »
Quote from: Realpolitik on November 20, 2003, 03:38:26 PM
What I'd like to see would be a regional breakdown etc.

More details really.

I don't think that they break the numbers downregionally.
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