2004 Democratic Primary

[Flying Dog]

Kentucky:narrow GOP gain
Misssisipi:DEM win
Lousiana:as of write now dem victory

[Flying Dog]

I voted gephardt in this poll because I think he has the best chance of beating bush

[Flying Dog]

NORTHEAST-SOLID DEM. i think even NH will go dem


SOUTHEAST-SOLID REPUBLICAN. south gets more and more red every election.

MIDWEST-WILL GO DEM. only indiana and kentucky will go repub

PLAIN STATES-SOLID REPUB


ROCKY MN STATES-SOLID REPUB

WEST COAST-DEM

DEM VICTORY- thanks to midwest

but that is just my belief

[Flying Dog]

jtf you were general but your analysis was 2000 replayed except NH.

Where else do you see Switches in states from one column to the other?

arizona-dem,missouri-dem,arkansaw-dem
minnisota-republican,oregaon-republican,ohio-dem

[Flying Dog]

Well o the states you mention I think Dems have problems for the following reasons-

AZ well Mccain has already said he will have an all out effort to help Bush win and with McCain running for reelection himself that will help Bush.

MO-mentioned bad Dem Gov, plus 2002 wins

OH-everything is run by GOP and been trending that way for some time.

AR- socially conservative state and all Dem have to be moderate to conserv to win.  Toss up one.

arizona-you may be right,but growing latino population could make it close. dem 1%

Mo-if gep is nomminee i think he will win it or edwards or clark for that matter. dem-5%

OHIO-growing population in clevland. i think it will go dem by 2%

Arkansaw-bush approval rating going down in every poll.dem-1%

all close races

[Flying Dog]

Or you could ask Clinton, who raised taxes on the wealthy in 1993, which of course doomed his chances of reelection....

LOL

[Flying Dog]

Ohio will Stay GOP as the Rest of the States But Bush Might Pick up Washighton Oregon & Minnestoa & Iowa

wASHington is dem country as of now and i think it whould stay that way till 04 and beyond

[Flying Dog]

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the major candidates ,dean,gep,clark,edwards,kerry whould win washington

[Flying Dog]

so could of gore

[Flying Dog]

But they dont have VERY many differences

[Flying Dog]

The Media only LEANS left