WV-PPP: Clinton trails everyone (user search)
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  WV-PPP: Clinton trails everyone (search mode)
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Author Topic: WV-PPP: Clinton trails everyone  (Read 5938 times)
barfbag
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Posts: 4,611
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Political Matrix
E: 4.26, S: -0.87

« on: September 25, 2013, 10:52:43 AM »

She's only at 44% against Cruz which isn't good. Also, it's 2013.
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barfbag
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,611
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.26, S: -0.87

« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2013, 12:21:56 PM »

West Virginia may be heading to 70-30 with all things being equal.
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barfbag
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,611
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.26, S: -0.87

« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2013, 02:44:09 PM »

West Virginia is as gone for the Democrats as Vermont is for Republicans.

When's the last time Vermont elected a Republican senator with 61% of the vote?

You're off topic. This is about a poll relating to a presidential election and not a senate election. Tim Johnson is a senator in South Dakota and they haven't voted for a Democrat since 1964. What do you have to say to that? We all know it's apples and oranges. Please stay on topic.
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barfbag
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,611
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.26, S: -0.87

« Reply #3 on: September 25, 2013, 04:46:41 PM »

Why is this a story? This is fcuking West Virginia! This is the state that was the most recent Democratic presidential candidate's fifth worst state, and the state in which the most recent Democratic President has his second lowest approval rating. The only real story is that Cruz ONLY leads Clinton, one of the highest ranking officials in Barack FCUKING OBAMA'S ADMINISTRATION by 3...other than his last name and skin color, there is no better fcuking fit for this joke of a state than Ted fcuking Cruz! If Cruz is only leading in WEST VIRGINIA by 3, heck if Christie is only leading by NINE in West FCUKING Virginia, I just got a hell of a lot more optimistic about the Democrats' chances in 2016 (not that I wasn't obviously very optimistic already, and for good reason). What are you gonna tell me next? That Patrick FCUKING LEAHY is a lock for reelection?

I think with junkies like us we're quick to compare her to her husband who won West Virginia twice when it was reliably blue.
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barfbag
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,611
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.26, S: -0.87

« Reply #4 on: September 26, 2013, 12:14:52 AM »

They said Obama's numbers in West Virginia are the second-worst of any state. How can that be? Between Kentucky and West Virginia, I always thought of Kentucky as being the more conservative of the two, by far.

They usually are but not last time. The coal industry has been destroyed by Obama. Democrats used to cry foul over Reagan's policies towards the steel industry. Now we'll be able to throw it right back regarding Obama's policies towards the coal industry.
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barfbag
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,611
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.26, S: -0.87

« Reply #5 on: September 26, 2013, 09:00:48 PM »

West Virginia is as gone for the Democrats as Vermont is for Republicans.

When's the last time Vermont elected a Republican senator with 61% of the vote?

2000, and with 65% of the vote.

So 13 years ago, compared to 1 year ago for Manchin, which proves my point. If Manchin loses in 2018, then I'll be willing to say WV is permanently gone for the Democrats.

Governors are an entirely different beast. Even Wyoming elected a Democratic governor, as Vermont did a Republican one.

Manchin is not Hillary, and as PolitiJunkie said, a liberal will not win WV. Period.

One could argue that Maine is not a Democratic state because it has no Democratic statewide officials. Yet at the same time it has gone Democratic every cycle since 1992.

Statewide and national elections are two different things entirely. The NJ gubernatorial race is not Safe R. It is Safe Christie, just as the 2012 WV senate race was Safe Manchin, not Safe D. Often the statewide races are a great indicator of a state's national lean. But as in the case of WV, it is not.

So no, WV is not gone for all Democrats, but almost no states are gone for all Democrats or all Republicans. WV is gone for all D presidential nominees, because the only type of Democrat that can be nominated is a Democrat far too liberal for West Virginia.

Thank you; this is perfect.

I can see why some people might have thought that Hillary had a fighting chance in WV because Bill Clinton was so popular there and the southern Democrat brand works well there, and honestly, Hillary probably would have won the state had she been the nominee in 2008 (assuming that in this alternate reality, the GOP nominee wasn't Huckabee, and ESPECIALLY if the nominee WAS Romney or Giuliani), but any chances of her winning the state went out the window when she became a member and huge supporter of the Obama administration (and frankly, her southern Democrat brand has been dead since she became a Senator for New York).

I think her chances ended with the gun issue in 2000 when Al Gore was seen as a gun grabber. This may be far fetched but it seems like ever since then, WV has done a 180.
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