Indeed the state went 53-46 in 2012, which will be more relevant to 2016. For midterms, the electorate will be somewhere between those of 2008 and 2010.
Do you think we're living in an age where midterms look more like the 2002 and 2004 demographics while presidential elections look more like 2008 demographics? It seems like a lot of Democrats don't vote in midterms.
2010 gave a harsh lesson in the importance of midterm elections. Wet-behind-the-ears Obama supporters who thought that by electing President Obama they had solved everything found out the hard way since then that Congress is just as important as the President, and that state legislatures matter too.
In 2011 Republicans imposed an uneven playing field. Democrats need to figure how to win despite an uneven playing field (meaning gerrymandering).
