AK-Hays Research Group: Sen. Begich (D) leads Treadwell (R) by 12
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  AK-Hays Research Group: Sen. Begich (D) leads Treadwell (R) by 12		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: AK-Hays Research Group: Sen. Begich (D) leads Treadwell (R) by 12  (Read 1496 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: September 03, 2013, 12:10:39 PM »
50.4% Mark Begich
38.5% Mead Treadwell

Begich is a Democrat and Treadwell is a Republican. Adam Hays is the Research Director for the Hays Research Group. In a prepared statement he claimed that Senator Begich is in a good position at this point in the race. However, Hays notes that Lieutenant Governor Treadwell has a good base of support. Hays stresses that the poll was paid for entirely by the Hays Research Group and the Group does not work for on behalf of any political candidate or campaign.

http://kdlg.org/post/new-polling-senator-begich-has-lead-over-lieutenant-governor-mead-treadwell

But, you shouldn't really trust ANY Alaska poll. They are notoriously bad ...
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2013, 12:15:29 PM »
Ugh, decimals.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2013, 12:58:04 PM »
It will be interesting to see whether or not it's a pro-establishment touch in Alaska or a Pro-Republican one. It's interesting. That being said, any poll with decimals is questionable, so I doubt these results, but it seems like generally Begich is ahead at this time.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: September 03, 2013, 01:03:22 PM »
Not a toss up anymore.
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: September 03, 2013, 01:42:42 PM »
In their defense, they showed Murkowski winning by 5.
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« Reply #5 on: September 03, 2013, 03:39:38 PM »
Seems pretty junky to me. Decimals don't help at all.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: September 03, 2013, 05:57:12 PM »
Why do decimals make a poll inaccurate?
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Miles
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« Reply #7 on: September 03, 2013, 06:08:38 PM »

Good firms typically don't use decimals.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: September 03, 2013, 07:11:28 PM »
Quote from: MilesC56 on September 03, 2013, 06:08:38 PM

Good firms typically don't use decimals.

OK. This is Alaska were talking about too, Begich + 4 sounds a lot more realistic than Begich + 12. We'll have to wait and see until the next poll.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: September 03, 2013, 07:30:01 PM »
Quote from: Waukesha County on September 03, 2013, 07:11:28 PM
Quote from: MilesC56 on September 03, 2013, 06:08:38 PM

Good firms typically don't use decimals.

OK. This is Alaska were talking about too, Begich + 4 sounds a lot more realistic than Begich + 12. We'll have to wait and see until the next poll.

The test is the 50 percent mark. We saw the samething in ME where each candidate was well under that and it showed a false Michaud lead. Like to see Landrieu and Begich now reaching it.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #10 on: September 05, 2013, 06:07:54 AM »

Precision in polling into decimals makes a mockery of the concept of "margin of error".
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windjammer
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« Reply #11 on: September 05, 2013, 06:22:15 AM »
Quote from: Grimes/2 Chainz 2016 on September 03, 2013, 03:39:38 PM
Seems pretty junky to me. Decimals don't help at all.
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« Reply #12 on: September 08, 2013, 11:49:35 PM »

Not to even mention Treadwell's crazy low numbers. As much as I'd love this to happen I'm calling junk.
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