OH-PPP: Kasich trailing

[LeBron]

His approval was bound to drop given how high it was for a tossup state. He lost the state a ton of jobs, signed that new restrictive abortion bill, and the latest JobsOhio fraud. And I would imagine once that 62% becomes more familiar with Ed FitzGerald over the next year, most of them will go for FitzGerald because at this point in time, FitzGerald has more on Kasich than Kasich has on him.

[LeBron]

Is it time to move this race to toss-up?

This is just one poll in an assortment of polls that say otherwise. So, no.

The only other poll besides PPP whose polled this race is Quinnipiac and it's no longer accurate after all that's transired in FitzGerald's favor over the months of July and August. Although FitzGerald has a 3 point lead according to PPP, mainly because there's still so many undecided voters, the election at this point really doesn't lean Democratic or Republican and with 2 pollsters giving a whole different scenario favoring one or the other candidate, it should be considered a tossup.

And if you guys haven't heard, Ohio's trying to pass through the 6 week abortion ban bill again and it could potentially pass with our new, more extreme Senate President. If it gets through our GOP legislature which I presume it will if it's allowed a vote in both houses and Kasich ends up signing it, there's almost no question then that FitzGerald's race against Kasich would become a strong Democratic opportunity. Kasich already screwed up once with this attack on women and he can't afford a 2nd time.

[LeBron]

FitzGerald is really starting to make this a race. He's starting to close that 27% gap of undecided's and is trying to visit all of Ohio's counties (recently Belmont and Putnam) to rally some Democratic/Independent support. Plus with a Libertarian in this race now, this will help the FitzGerald campaign significantly because Charlie Earl will no doubt take as many as maybe 10,000 votes away mostly from John Kasich which can be a crucial difference in the outcome.

Almost everything is going his way at this point. Unemployment is rising, women are going against Kasich, he's trying to cling major support from the Ohio middle class, and he's already been backed by a number of unions and especially the Ohio Democratic Party Executive Committee.