OH-PPP: Kasich trailing

[free my dawg]

I'm skeptical.

[free my dawg]

Junk poll!

Exactly.  Then again, most of PPP's early polls are.

Of course we have to trust PPP so this race is now a toss-up.

You two really are divorced from reality, aren't you?

[free my dawg]

So far in this race we have two recent datapoints:

1. Quinnipiac, which has Kasich up by 14
2. PPP, which has FitzGerald up by 3

This poll diverges enough from the previous set that I think we might want to wait for another poll to confirm what is happening here before jumping to conclusions. While I am skeptical I may be coming up with excuses to junk this simply because I don't like its result, I am rather skeptical of a poll at 38-35. I mean, what, does Ross Perot have 20%?

That's only another path down the rabbit hole. That and Kasich's done relatively nothing to fall so quickly. I'm guessing Kasich is leading by about 3-7 points.

[free my dawg]

His approval was bound to drop given how high it was for a tossup state. He lost the state a ton of jobs, signed that new restrictive abortion bill, and the latest JobsOhio fraud. And I would imagine once that 62% becomes more familiar with Ed FitzGerald over the next year, most of them will go for FitzGerald because at this point in time, FitzGerald has more on Kasich than Kasich has on him.

I'm hoping you're right.