We already have a thread about this. Alaska is too big and has far too much elbow space to ever be contested by either party. It's twice the size of Montana. You mean to tell me that either party is going to spend time and spend money traveling there for 3 Electoral votes? It doesn't have the terrain to become like Delaware or Vermont and the sizes aren't comparable. I see it becoming light red and purplish red if Democrats win by enough. We probably all agree that Alaska will never be a toss up. What else we should agree on is Alaska's trend must continue for this to happen.
Alaska may be large in area, but the heavily populated area is not all that spread out.
Also, Montana like Alaska has 3 EV, yet Obama campaigned there in 2008 anyway.
I do agree that if the Democratic nominee wins Alaska, he (or she) would have already gotten 270 EV without it anyway.
Obama campaigning in Montana is not like Alaska. 2008 was a Democratic year and he still lost by a few points. Like I said, purplish red when Democrats win and light red in other elections.