strange Miami Dade 2012 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 12:10:06 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  strange Miami Dade 2012 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: strange Miami Dade 2012  (Read 3553 times)
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181


« on: August 09, 2013, 06:17:59 PM »

Anecdotally I think there were a few factors here, even assuming those areas didn't trend democrat... though I believe they did...

1) The Cuban population has spread out a bit in recent years, especially young Cubans, who were more likely to vote for Obama in the first place.

2) The white population in Miami is definitely getting more liberal.  The transplant communities really do represent the vast majority of voters now. 

3) Definitely a much bigger concentration of gays too.  Miami has a huge gay population that probably has grown in recent years.  Obama came out for gay marriage before the election.  I have to imagine he swamped Romney in a lot of precincts and that turnout was bigger.

4) Even in Miami, the Hispanic population is changing... a lot more non-Cuban Hispanics.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181


« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2013, 08:18:16 PM »

What was the change in the white vote for Miami-Dade County?

It depends on what you'd consider white in Miami. Miami Dade is majority white if you include white Hispanics and that white vote swung towards Obama. The Non Hispanic white vote is a lot smaller and honestly I don't know how it might have swung.

Now, let's look at the national trend and the Florida trend, overall whites voted more for Romney, blacks stayed about the same, and hispanics voted more for Obama. If you look at Dade County, you can see that it swung to Obama more so than last time. Considering the miniscule white population, only one in five in the county are white, and considering that about half of the county is hispanic white, and the fact that people in the county are kind of segregated (http://demographics.coopercenter.org/DotMap/index.html) then you can imagine the (more liberal) white vote going to the right, while all other groups trended towards the Democrats.

That map is kind of hard to tell, I wasn't able to zoom in close enough on my end.  However, I could see some of the white areas swinging towards Obama.  I'm assuming Miami Beach is part of Dade County.  If so, that area seems to be getting a lot whiter and higher end.  I bet these white voters are voting just like Northeasterners now.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.023 seconds with 13 queries.