Which state is more likely to vote Democratic in 2016? (user search)
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  Which state is more likely to vote Democratic in 2016? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: ...
#1
A Dakota
 
#2
Missouri
 
#3
South Carolina
 
#4
Texas
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 38

Author Topic: Which state is more likely to vote Democratic in 2016?  (Read 689 times)
Fuzzy Bear
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Posts: 25,734
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« on: July 13, 2013, 07:33:28 AM »

The most likely is Missouri; that's the "safe" pick.  South Carolina and Texas are trending Democratic, but are not very elastic, and are 10 years away from demographic trends culminating in a tipping point.

I would consider North Dakota as a possible 2nd pick.  Lots of newcomers are moving into the state, and one cannot fully predict the result of that.  It's not likely that North Dakota will go for the Democrats, but it's possible.
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