West Virginia Megathread
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Orser67
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« Reply #50 on: September 15, 2013, 04:19:38 PM »

McGeehan seems like a Paulite. I wonder how that will play in WV? I'd be pretty skeptical if Rand Paul hadn't won in Kentucky in 2010.
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #51 on: September 15, 2013, 09:34:29 PM »

I think that the GOP is counting some chickens before they hatch in WV.  The Democratic establishment there does not wish to go the way of Arkansas.  They have been better in separating the state Democratic party from the national party than other states.  Let's also not forget that (A) West Virginia did not secede and has few blacks, so the racial issues of, say, Alabama do not apply here, and (B) West Virginia went Democratic for DUKAKIS!?!?! in 1988 and Clinton twice.  I think that Tennant is the favorite in 2014 if the election is not overly nationalized.
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MalaspinaGold
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« Reply #52 on: September 17, 2013, 01:06:30 AM »

Seems that Tennant may be announcing tomorrow|http://www.dailymail.com/News/statehouse/201309150064

This should be a fun race to watch... hopefully she doesn't pull a Brian Schweitzer.
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Miles
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« Reply #53 on: September 17, 2013, 02:21:10 PM »

And Tennant's site is up!
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hurricanehink
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« Reply #54 on: September 17, 2013, 03:25:21 PM »

http://www.usatoday.com/story/onpolitics/2013/09/17/tennant-west-virginia-senate-capito/2825429/ - USAToday.com has it too. Neat quote there.

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Bacon King
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« Reply #55 on: September 17, 2013, 07:12:54 PM »

I have absolutely nothing solid to base this on but my hunch is that Tennant wins big. She's twice won over 60% with Obama at the top of the ticket plus there's probably a reason Capito turned down great opportunities. Has she ever even had a competitive election? Plus the vibe I've always gotten from her "star status" is paper tiger inside-the-beltway hype.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #56 on: September 17, 2013, 07:30:57 PM »

I have absolutely nothing solid to base this on but my hunch is that Tennant wins big. She's twice won over 60% with Obama at the top of the ticket plus there's probably a reason Capito turned down great opportunities. Has she ever even had a competitive election? Plus the vibe I've always gotten from her "star status" is paper tiger inside-the-beltway hype.

If Walsh gets in we will have a net loss of minimum 2 seats, SD and Ark.
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Miles
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« Reply #57 on: September 17, 2013, 08:11:25 PM »

PPP is offering WV as a polling option.

Its winning, but ya'll should vote for it anyway.
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illegaloperation
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« Reply #58 on: September 17, 2013, 08:59:33 PM »


Yes, we need a good pollster on this race.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #59 on: September 18, 2013, 12:12:53 PM »

I have absolutely nothing solid to base this on but my hunch is that Tennant wins big. She's twice won over 60% with Obama at the top of the ticket plus there's probably a reason Capito turned down great opportunities. Has she ever even had a competitive election? Plus the vibe I've always gotten from her "star status" is paper tiger inside-the-beltway hype.

If Walsh gets in we will have a net loss of minimum 2 seats, SD and Ark.

Arkansas is not gone by any remote stretch of the imagination.  Montana will be tougher, even with Walsh.  Only South Dakota is really gone, right now.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #60 on: September 18, 2013, 05:23:27 PM »

Daines, I haven't been sold on. Tester was the most vulnerable inc out there. MnT have had consecutive democratic win streaks.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #61 on: September 18, 2013, 05:56:06 PM »

Tennant seeks to distance herself and Obama on coal/environment.

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/09/west-virginia-senate-2014-natalie-tennant-coal-west-virginia-obama-96946.html
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Miles
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« Reply #62 on: September 18, 2013, 06:47:50 PM »

^ Good. She can't start that soon enough.
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badgate
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« Reply #63 on: September 19, 2013, 10:50:40 PM »

^ Good. She can't start that soon enough.

Especially considering what's happening tomorrow.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #64 on: September 19, 2013, 11:43:39 PM »

Will she embrace WV fastest growing industry, or will she just drool like the rest of them.

http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=12311
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Miles
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« Reply #65 on: September 20, 2013, 01:17:35 AM »

Well, we saw this coming:

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tmthforu94
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« Reply #66 on: September 20, 2013, 02:49:36 PM »

A vote for Tennant is a vote for Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who is committed to fighting the coal industry. Capito will have to spin it this way.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #67 on: September 20, 2013, 06:58:43 PM »

plus there's probably a reason Capito turned down great opportunities.

She has daddy issues. Of course most of those opportunities were not actually 'great' at all...
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illegaloperation
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« Reply #68 on: September 20, 2013, 07:11:11 PM »
« Edited: September 20, 2013, 07:14:04 PM by illegaloperation »

A vote for Tennant is a vote for Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who is committed to fighting the coal industry. Capito will have to spin it this way.

Isn't that what Republicans do with every Democratic senatorial candidate running in red states?

"A vote for [insert name here] is a vote for Harry Reid."
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windjammer
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« Reply #69 on: September 21, 2013, 04:45:59 AM »

A vote for Tennant is a vote for Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who is committed to fighting the coal industry. Capito will have to spin it this way.

Isn't that what Republicans do with every Democratic senatorial candidate running in red states?

"A vote for [insert name here] is a vote for Harry Reid."

And it works (a)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #70 on: September 22, 2013, 07:47:15 AM »

I do believe if the GOP fail to capture the senate these tossups will go our way. Tennant isn't going away anytime soon as she is close behind.
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Miles
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« Reply #71 on: September 23, 2013, 10:39:33 AM »

This is probably to be expected:

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I can see his overall approval being something like 29/59.
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windjammer
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« Reply #72 on: September 23, 2013, 10:42:11 AM »

This is probably to be expected:

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I can see his overall approval being something like 29/59.

Not a surprise Tongue.
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Rocky Rockefeller
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« Reply #73 on: September 24, 2013, 05:05:03 PM »

Capito's up 14 points 50/36 as per PPP.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/09/capito-starts-out-ahead-in-wv-senate-race.html
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windjammer
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« Reply #74 on: September 25, 2013, 05:48:38 AM »

But it's a problem of name recognition. Republicans are favored but this race will be closer; lean republican.
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