So in Jan/Feb 2012, this was my prediction if Romney won the nomination, with Obama
breaking 50%. This was before I understood the relationship between Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida.
319 – 219
50% - 48%
When Romney seemed to be winning then actually won I thought it would go something like this, with Obama *maybe* breaking 50%.
286 -
252After the Dem Convention I got a little cocky and thought NC would narrowly go Obama, and he'd win between 50% - 52%. 347 - 191
After the debates and Romney's poll numbers go up, I thought either Obama would win with 303 EVs or less, or Romney with 279 or less. Neither would break 50% PV.
or
On election day my final bet was back to Obama 303 and 50%. How about you guys?
