AR-Basswood Research (R): Sen. Pryor in trouble, says GOP poll
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  AR-Basswood Research (R): Sen. Pryor in trouble, says GOP poll
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Author Topic: AR-Basswood Research (R): Sen. Pryor in trouble, says GOP poll  (Read 842 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: June 27, 2013, 11:06:43 AM »

Key Findings

Three-term incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Pryor is in deep trouble. Pryor is in a dead heat with potential Republican candidate, first-year Arkansas Congressman Tom Cotton. Pryor receives support from 41% of likely voters, while Cotton wins 40%.

However, the 19% of remaining voters who say they are undecided have negative views of Pryor and are disproportionately Republicans and Independents.

As is true in many cases, a longtime incumbent such as Pryor who barely gets 40% of the vote in polling has a hard time getting re-elected.

Methodology

On June 22-23, 2013, Basswood Research conducted a statewide survey of likely general election voters in Arkansas. The survey was conducted by live professional interviewers by telephone. The sample size was 600, with a margin of error of +/- 4%, at a 95% confidence interval. Interviews were geographically distributed to reflect actual voting patterns in Arkansas general elections.

http://www.senateconservatives.com/site/post/2155/new-poll-spells-trouble-for-mark-pryor
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2013, 11:09:21 AM »

That's actually not as bad as I thought it would be.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #2 on: June 27, 2013, 11:09:53 AM »

So Pryor's at about 44-45%? That's better than I expected.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3 on: June 27, 2013, 11:17:41 AM »

It's also a significant improvement for Pryor compared with their last poll from March:

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http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/308175-dem-groups-hammer-cotton-in-new-ad-in-arkansas-senate-race
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4 on: June 27, 2013, 11:27:00 AM »

Basswood was also the first pollster to show Lugar in primary trouble, which Mourdock then won:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=138683.0
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #5 on: June 27, 2013, 12:19:04 PM »

Pryor was never in Lincoln terrtory. More like McCaskill 2011. In a few weeks it'll be game on.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #6 on: June 27, 2013, 12:23:38 PM »

On another note, Neo-Cons through a fundraiser at the home if Romney Foreign Policy Advisor Dan Senor for Tom Cotton.

Apparently, with the help of Gingrich Sugar Daddy, Sheldon Addelson, they raised $100,000. Anyone with the support of Senor and Addelson scares the [inks] out of me.
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Anti Democrat Democrat Club
SawxDem
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« Reply #7 on: June 30, 2013, 09:41:02 PM »

This actually is great news.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #8 on: June 30, 2013, 09:45:52 PM »

On that we agree. I'd really like to see PPP or TB take a look here, but they probably won't until Cotton formally declares. Same thing with Boozman in 2010.
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