Election Analysis

[minionofmidas]

The Dem swings in NE New Jersey are due to minorities (Cubans, Asians) abandoning the Republican Party in droves rather than turnout increases - turnout decreased up there (a bit of the area also got hit pretty hard, but just as importantly not everybody who abandons a lifetime habit of voting for a party goes over to the other side right away. Some of 'em sat it out. Nonetheless these people are probably lost to the GOP for good. And there's still more left to lose. It's the mirror image of Democratic losses among southern upland Whites, really, except nowhere near as visible on a county map.)
The Dem swing across the state is due to that and to the turnout decreases on the Shore that are indeed a Sandy artifact. The mini Dem swing in the shore counties... who knows. Crisis-handling bonus or artifact of what exactly got hit the worst. Anyways nothing to worry about from a Republican pov.