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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Virginiá)
  2013/14 statewide candidates who are most likely to run for president some day?
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Author Topic: 2013/14 statewide candidates who are most likely to run for president some day?  (Read 1371 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: May 26, 2013, 02:06:37 am »

Among the likely candidates for either US Senate or governorships in 2013 and 2014 who have not previously held office as a US Senator or Governor, which of them are most likely to run for president one day?

Booker and Cuccinelli seem like the most obvious choices, but I'm wondering who else?  Lisa Madigan, maybe?  If Clinton opts out of running in 2016, and the Dems nominate a man (e.g., Cuomo, O'Malley, Hickenlooper, etc.), then there'll still be this residual desire from many in the party to nominate a woman the next time around, so maybe someone like Madigan would decide to throw her hat in the ring?

Anyway, anyone else?
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PolitiJunkie
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« Reply #1 on: May 26, 2013, 02:35:39 pm »

If Jerry Brown chooses not to seek reelection in 2014, which is plausible for he will be 76 and has already served three terms, I could see Kamala Harris easily winning the Governorship in 2014 and maybe running for President in 2020 if there is a Republican incumbent, or if there is a Democratic incumbent who decides not to seek reelection (quite possible if Hillary or Biden is elected in 2016).
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #2 on: May 26, 2013, 03:32:35 pm »

I can see Tom Cotton or Bill Halter in Arkansas both running for President if they win there races.
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bballrox4717
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« Reply #3 on: May 26, 2013, 06:15:23 pm »

I don't really see too many candidates. I agree with Cotton, Cuccinelli and Booker, but there's none that really stand out. They all seem to be more state oriented than anything. Also, this seems to be a pretty pro-incumbent cycle. 2016 and 2018 will probably have more turnover and generate more future candidates.
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Marxist-Cornpopist Thought
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« Reply #4 on: May 30, 2013, 01:50:40 pm »

Cotton, Booker, Cuccinelli. Possibly Harris/Newsom (whoever decides to go for governor).
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #5 on: June 18, 2013, 11:20:26 pm »
« Edited: June 22, 2013, 09:39:37 am by Mister Mets »

On the Republican side, Iowa State Senator Joni Ernst becomes an immediate candidate for Veep if she can win the Senate election in 2014. Chris Christie and Jeb Bush would love her: a socially conservative woman from a midwestern swing state, with a military career.

Her primary opponent, former US Attorney Matthew Whitaker is young enough to be able to take advantage of the swing state office. If he can win a tough election.

Cuccunelli is fairly young, and running for Governor in a key swing state. Plus, he shoved aside the Lieutenant Governor in a state where Governors only serve one term. He's ambitious, and he doesn't have to worry about reelection.

Former Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land is running for Senate. She seems like someone the Republican party would like to see running for national office.

On the Democratic side, Booker is pretty obvious. If Madigan becomes Governor, I can easily see her running in 2020 as a reelected big state Governor. It is worth noting that previous Governors of the state haven't been all that popular. But she could be someone with the strengths of Cuomo, and the ability to be the first female President.

Republican Governors elected in 2010 may be vulnerable. But their opponents usually aren't presidential timber. Possible Pennsylvania Governor Allyson Schwartz is a bit old to be a national contender. She'll be 72 on election day in 2020. If Vincent Shaheen beats Nikki Haley, I can easily see him trying to follow in the footsteps of Carter and Bill Clinton.
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Gramscian-Bidenist
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« Reply #6 on: June 21, 2013, 01:17:35 pm »

Cory Booker, Chris Christie, Anthony Brown. I can't see any of them winning, though.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #7 on: June 21, 2013, 06:57:16 pm »

Booker, Cuccinelli, Cotton.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: September 28, 2014, 12:51:45 am »

*bump*

This thread is from last year, but we now know who all the 2014 party nominees are.  How about now?
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KCDem
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« Reply #9 on: September 28, 2014, 12:53:12 am »

Cotton because he's a megalomaniac.
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Never
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« Reply #10 on: September 28, 2014, 01:12:07 am »

Cory Booker, Tom Cotton, Cory Gardner, Joni Ernst.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #11 on: September 28, 2014, 09:59:12 am »

Already mentioned Booker, Ernst, and Land, in addition to some who have lost primaries and generals, and one who didn't run at all (Lisa Madigan of Illinois.)

Tom Cotton, Ben Sasse and Cory Gardner have potential. They're young, and appeal to the base without alienating the center. Each has different strengths. Cotton has a military record. Sasse has an academic background. Gardner comes from a key swing state.

Charlie Baker has policy chops, and a shot at being the next Governor of Massachusetts, a state that produces an outsized number of presidential contenders.

Bruce Rauner is a billionaire with a shot at being Governor of that big state next to Iowa. He also merits consideration, given the Republican propensity for nominating businessman governors (see George W Bush, and Mitt Romney.)

I think Anthony Brown has a shot at being Hillary's running mate, because he'll be one of few male statewide officeholders under 60 to have backed her in '08 and the Clintons reward loyalty. He has eight years of practice as the #2 to a prominent executive, can help with African-American turnout, can excite the base with his civil rights activist background and can make the center happy with his military background.

Jason Carter and Mike Ross are polling competitively in elections for offices held by previous Democratic Presidents. If Mary Burke beats Scott Walker, she'd be a potential contender down the line.

Paul Davis of Kansas is a man in his early 40s with a good shot at getting elected in a very conservative state. He'd be an inoffensive addition to any ticket helmed by an East Coast officeholder (Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, Kirsten Gillibrand, Cory Booker, Deval Patrick.)

Greg Orman would be interesting, as we have no idea what type of Senator he'd be. He'll be the first young Independent officeholder in some time. He might easily be on a third party ticket at some point, or might add centrist credibility to a standard D/R ticket.
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Vega
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« Reply #12 on: September 28, 2014, 10:30:56 am »

I can definitely see Tulsi Gabbard running for President some day.
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