IA-Quinnipiac: Paul & Rubio trail Hillary, but they lead Biden

[Mr. Morden]

Clinton 48%
Rubio 37%

Rubio 40%
Biden 39%

Clinton 46%
Paul 42%

Paul 44%
Biden 39%

Here are some interesting crosstabs:

Clinton vs. Rubio crosstabs:

college grad: Clinton +3
not college grad: Clinton +13
age 18-29: Clinton +19
age 30-44: Clinton +8
age 45-64: Clinton +9
age 65+: Clinton +10

Biden vs. Rubio crosstabs:

college grad: Rubio +8
not college grad: Biden +2
age 18-29: Biden +7
age 30-44: Biden +1
age 45-64: Rubio +4
age 65: Rubio +2

Clinton vs. Paul crosstabs:

college grad: Clinton +7
not college grad: Clinton +4
age 18-29: Paul +4
age 30-44: Clinton +3
age 45-64: Clinton +6
age 65+: Clinton +10

Biden vs. Paul crosstabs:

college grad: Paul +2
not college grad: Paul +7
age 18-29: Paul +7
age 30-44: Paul +6
age 45-64: Paul +7
age 65: Paul +1

Clinton's weakest age group against Rubio is again 30-44 year olds (just barely), again in sharp contrast to Obama, who did markedly worse among olds.

But Paul's strength among youngs is pretty remarkable.  Leading Clinton by 4 among the under 30 bracket(?!?).  Also, Rubio seems to do better among college grads than non-grads, whereas with Paul it's the opposite.

[Mr. Morden]

The 18-29 Clinton/Paul breakdown must be really off.

Especially if we compare it with Biden/Paul.

Why would young voters vote exactly the opposite way like they did in 2012, just because it's Clinton vs. Paul ?

In 2012, it was O+16 and in in 2008 is was O+25 in this age-group in Iowa.

That doesn't make much sense.

I agree it's most likely off.  PPP's latest national poll had Clinton beating Paul by 21 points among the under 30 age group.  Though that's only 15 points more than she led among the over 65 group, whereas Obama was +23 points among the <30s and -12 points among the >65s for a whopping 35 point differential.  So yes, the age group will presumably shrink (perhaps considerably) without Obama on the ticket, but not as much as shown in this poll.

[Mr. Morden]

I wonder what it is that's keeping Joe down.  Is Hillary the only one people are willing to look past the age thing with?

Biden is seen as something of a buffoon.  Not ready for primetime.