So should I bother looking up 'Target Seats' for this election, or would that be pointless because the Liberal collapse of 2011 skewed everything?
No point, but just for fun:
Cons (vs. NDP) targets:
1) Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup, QC (0.02%)
2) Cowichan—Malahat—Langford, BC (0.5%)
3) Regina—Lewvan, SK (1.3%)
4) Saanich—Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca, BC (1.8%)
5) Scarborough North, ON (2.0%)
6) Louis-Saint-Laurent, QC (2.3%)
7) Scarborough Southwest, ON (3.2%)
8 ) Niagara Centre, ON (4.1%)
9) Surrey Centre, BC (4.4%)
10) Burnaby South, BC (4.4%)
NDP (vs Cons) targets:
1) Lévis—Lotbinière, QC (1.4%)
2) Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River, SK (1.5%)
3) Elmwood—Transcona, MB (2.1%)
4) Sault Ste. Marie, ON (3.0%)
5) Courtenay—Alberni, BC (4.2%)
6) Scarborough Centre, ON (4.2%)
7) Vancouver Island North—Comox—Powell River, BC (4.3%)
8 ) South Okanagan—West Kootenay, BC (5.3%)
9) South Shore—St. Margarets, NS (5.9%)
10) Port Moody—Coquitlam, BC (6.0%)
Cons (vs. Lib) targets:
1) Nipissing—Timiskaming, ON (0.1%)
2) Markham—Thornhill, ON (0.7%)
3) Scarborough—Guildwood, ON (1.1%)
4) Don Valley East, ON (2.0%)
5) Sydney—Victoria, NS (2.1%)
6) Kings—Hants, NS (2.9%)
7) Scarborough—Rouge Park, ON (3.2%)
8 ) Malpeque, PEI (3.3%)
9) Vancouver Centre, BC (5.0%)
10) Lac-Saint-Louis, QC (5.7%)
Lib (vs Cons) seats:
1) Mississauga—Malton, ON (0.6%)
2) Labrador, NL (0.7%)
3) Etobicoke Centre, ON (1.3%)
4) Willowdale, ON (2.3%)
5) Don Valley West, ON (2.4%)
6) London North Centre, ON (2.8%)
7) Scarborough Centre, ON (3.0%)
8 ) Don Valley North, ON (3.0%)
9) Waterloo, ON (3.1%)
10) Avalon, NL (3.9%)
NDP (vs Lib) targets:
1) Ahuntsic-Cartierville, QC (1.2%)
2) Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount, QC (3.2%)
3) Toronto Centre, ON (3.2%)
4) Scarborough—Rouge Park, ON (3.8%)
5) Lac-Saint-Louis, QC (4.0%)
6) Vancouver Centre, BC (4.7%)
7) Bourassa, QC (6.1%)
8 ) Papineau, QC (8.1%)
9) Halifax West, NS (8.8%)
10) Scarborough—Guildwood, ON (9.1%)
Lib (vs NDP) targets:
1) Winnipeg North, MB (0.4%)
2) Surrey—Newton, BC (1.2%)
3) Dartmouth—Cole Harbour, NS (1.7%)
4) Honoré-Mercier, QC (1.7%)
5) Pierrefonds—Dollard, QC (3.7%)
6) Brossard—Saint-Lambert, QC (4.1%)
7) Scarborough Southwest, ON (5.5%)
8 ) Scarborough North, ON (6.5%)
9) Brampton East, ON (7.0%)
10) York South—Weston, ON (7.3%)