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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Virginiá)
  18-29 Voting Patterns: 2004-2012 (search mode)
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Author Topic: 18-29 Voting Patterns: 2004-2012  (Read 1069 times)
Mr. Morden
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Posts: 41,350
United States


« on: May 21, 2013, 07:26:43 am »

I posted on this topic on the 2016 board, in the context of the recent 2016 polling.  There's been a big shift in the 2000s, especially from 2004 to 2008, in terms of the polarization between young and old:



The early general election polling for 2016 shows the age polarization decreasing somewhat, with many polls showing Clinton doing worse among the 30-45 age group than among 65+, for example.  This suggests to me that some of the age polarization in 2008 and 2012 may have come from the Democratic nominee being a black.  In 2016, it's possible that we'll see something of a reversion, a bit closer to 2004 levels of age polarization.
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