I normally don't believe polls are wrong, but in this race, I think that Cuccinelli will pull off a huge upset.
If he were running against anyone else, I would not say this, but McAuliffe is such a consensus sleazebag that I've got to think that a number of folks in the middle will gag on him. Virginia has some moderate Republicans, and they will, in the end, stick with Cuccinelli, only because McAuliffe is a sleazeball.
McAuliffe is a sleazeball to the point where it is hard to imagine how he will effectively govern. He will never be able to garner popularity to put forth his own legislative program. He's damaged goods before he's even elected. And there's 2 weeks to bring people to see this. Cuccinelli's baggage is ideological to a point, but McAuliffe's is personal, and it's there for good.
And Cuccinelli doesn't have personal baggage? Doesn't he have the same kind of corruption problems that McDonnell has?