Virginia Governor's Race 2013 -Who's Gonna Win?

[Keystone Phil]

Here's looking forward to 2017!

Hey Hey, Ho Ho
TBD has got to go.

Yeah, great rallying cry considering Virginia has one term term limits for their Governor.

[Keystone Phil]

McAuliffe now only leads Cuccinelli 44% to 41%. That's down from 48% to 42% last month. The Libertarian is at 7%.

Cuccinelli still has horrible favor ability ratings (34% to 51%) while voters are split 38% to 38% on McAuliffe. I think this says way more about Terry's unpopularity since he can only muster a three point lead against an even more personally unpopular candidate.

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/09/ken-cuccinelli-terry-mcauliffe-virginia-governor-2013-poll-96976.html

[Keystone Phil]

Yeah, I think people are starting to realize that the alternative is, you know, Terry McAuliffe.

[Keystone Phil]

Anyone saw yesterday's debate?

Considering the hatred for both candidates, maybe sixteen Virginians (not counting campaign staffers).

[Keystone Phil]

There's a (university) poll out showing Terry up five.

http://m.washingtonpost.com/local/dc-politics/hampton-university-poll-shows-mcauliffe-with-an-edge-in-close-virginia-governors-race/2013/10/03/366f0ed8-2c7b-11e3-b139-029811dbb57f_story.html

[Keystone Phil]

The thought of Terry McAuliffe winning any elected public office (let alone Governor of a swing state) is astonishing and all of you would agree if you set aside your feelings on Cuccinelli.

Anyway, Terry will be an unquestionably disastrous Governor, most likely scandal plagued and extremely unpopular. VA Dems will be tagged as "McAuliffe Democrats" over the next few years and the GOP will benefit.

Cuccinelli is simply falling on his sword to ensure greater days to come. You all talk about the day that marked the end of this campaign. That's fine. I look at it this way though: Inauguration Day is when the VA GOP will be reborn.

[Keystone Phil]

You claim to know the future but what's stopping the Republicans in Virginia to be labelled "Cuccinelli Republicans" now? You always roll your eyes at people for making stupid predictions, but you just made one right there.

It's a feeling I have based on McAuliffe's history and demeanor. It's not like the repeated idiotic predictions made with complete certitude about U.S. Senate elections that are three to five years away.

And...uh...I'm sure there are plenty of Republicans being labeled "Cuccinelli Republicans" now. That's a cool attack for now, I guess. It's going to be a different story when you have four years of the other guy in power.

Is this meant to be a parody post?

Uh, no. The idea that McAuliffe will be unpopular or scandal plagued isn't some hack point. You can disagree but that doesn't make the suggestion a joke.

[Keystone Phil]

Dems love referencing 2004. "It's not 2004 anymore!" It's their way of saying, "We've moved on from the Bush years/once pretty popular culturally conservative positions motivating the nation." It was a GOP base-driven time. You'll remember how exit polls showed that "moral issues" were the top concern for many voters that year. Gay marriage bans were on the ballot in many states, helping to turn out social conservatives. This was a low point for their party so they're naturally going to enjoy reminding themselves that those days are over.

[Keystone Phil]

This was a low point for their party so they're naturally going to enjoy reminding themselves that those days are over.

Everybody who doesn't prey on hate enjoys being reminded of that.

Love it when you speak über hack to me, baby.

[Keystone Phil]

Well, being gay married myself, my priority is for my own life and not for "my own party's lows." Yes, I enjoy reminding myself that we don't have a majority of Americans voting on my rights and blaming me for their own problems. What a partisan I am.

You were speaking as a partisan when you referred to Cuccinelli's style of politics, my friend. And I was generally referring to Dems, not specifically gays or gay Dems, when they say, "It isn't 2004 anymore!" They're obviously speaking from a partisan perspective.

[Keystone Phil]

Rasmussen is a big outlier it seems, because Quinnipiac has it D+7 today.

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http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1968

"It's not over yet..."

[Keystone Phil]

Rasmussen is a big outlier it seems, because Quinnipiac has it D+7 today.

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http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1968

"It's not over yet..."

"Yeah... it is"

...I was mocking my infamous comment from 2006, pal.

[Keystone Phil]

Rasmussen is a big outlier it seems, because Quinnipiac has it D+7 today.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1968

"It's not over yet..."

"Yeah... it is"

...I was mocking my infamous comment from 2006, pal.

Wasn't here then, what was the context?

Then you really don't matter.

[Keystone Phil]

Terry McAuilffe winning in a landslide is almost literally nauseating.

[Keystone Phil]

Terry McAuilffe winning in a landslide is almost literally nauseating.

You brought it upon yourselves.

It's our fault Virginians are Italophobic? That's what this is really about.

[Keystone Phil]

Terry McAuilffe winning in a landslide is almost literally nauseating.

You brought it upon yourselves.

It's our fault Virginians are Italophobic? That's what this is really about.

Ah yes, because Cuccinelli's swarthy complexion is what's really the issue.

I'm glad someone understands.

[Keystone Phil]

Shades of Phil circa 2006 with the PA Senate race but...

New Quinnipiac shows McAuliffe only up 45% to 41% with 4% undecided - http://www.politico.com/story/2013/10/virginia-governor-race-ken-cuccinelli-terry-mcauliffe-poll-99080.html?hp=r3

With Sarvis out of the question, McAuliffe's lead is down to two points. Only 62% of Sarvis voters are said to be definitely voting for him.

[Keystone Phil]

From RRH. Two of the worst-regarded pollsters have their (I'm assuming) final polls out:

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And the worst of them all has Cuccinelli down by one. 41-40-10.

I'm honestly questioning whether they're making numbers up or not. Phil's poll says it's an outlier, but it's actually semi-reasonable for a floor. This is just based completely out of reality.

Phil's poll. Has a nice ring to it. Maybe Phil's Political Polling or PPP.

Sadly, though, it wasn't "Phil's poll." It was Quinnipiac.

[Keystone Phil]

Does anyone know if McAuliffe is for or against the death penalty ?

Didn't find a lot on Google ...

Hmmm. Not entirely sure but Bill and Hillary are still for it, right? That probably gives you your answer.

[Keystone Phil]

Virginia Dems have released a new ad highlighting Santorum's campaigning on behalf of Cuccinelli.

Remember what I said about Italophobia...?

[Keystone Phil]

So why did McAuliffe underperform?

Being Terry McAuliffe didn't help, for one.

[Keystone Phil]

Ken Cuccinelli won 18-24 year olds by six points.

If that doesn't shoot down some talking points, I don't know what will.