CO-PPP: Hick and Hillary struggling to keep state in Democratic hands (user search)
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  CO-PPP: Hick and Hillary struggling to keep state in Democratic hands (search mode)
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Author Topic: CO-PPP: Hick and Hillary struggling to keep state in Democratic hands  (Read 5076 times)
Devils30
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E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« on: April 24, 2013, 01:03:41 AM »

This polls electorate is 81% white and last years exits had it at 78%. Considering the state's rising latino population that number should be 75% or so in 2016. Keep in mind it's a midterm electorate poll and the fact that an actual campaign could hurt Rubio with social libertarians in Colorado (and help him in KY, WV, AR, TN etc). I'd bank on CO being the near the national average again no matter who the nominees are in 2016.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: April 24, 2013, 09:26:34 PM »

If someone like Rubio doesn't improve with hispanics, CO won't be terribly close. Still, there is no way Hillary can lose whites by 3 and win the state by only 4. Obama lost whites by 10 and won by over 5. If whites vote GOP by a 3 point margin, CO looks like a Hillary victory by 7 to 9 points. Of course this is all pointless speculation but I suspect once Hillary begins defending Obama policies she will stay steady in places like CO, NV, VA but drop significantly in KY, WV etc.
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