2012 Election Game: Campaign Thread

[NHI]

INTERNAL POLLING FROM HUCKABEE CAMPAIGN: South Carolina Primary and General Election

Huckabee Down 1 Point in South Carolina

South Carolina:

Hutchinson: 25%

Huckabee: 24%

Daniels: 21%

Ayotte: 13%

Huntsman: 7%

Undecided: 10%

Huckabee and Obama Race Dead Heat.

General Election:

Obama: 45%

Huckbaee: 45%

Undecided: 10%

[Sec. of State Superique]

I have just realized that a guy from Arkansas is going with the New Hampshire candidate and the New Hampshire guy is playing the Arkansas Governor! =P

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

OOC: For the next week I'll be forgoing campaigning in order to negotiate with Congress

President Obama Schedule for Week of January 16th

1/16/2012
-Meeting With Sen. Scott Brown and Congressman Steve LaTourette
-Meeting With Council of Economic Advisors
-Visit to VP Residence
-Meeting With Senate Democratic Caucus
1/17/2012
-Press Conference With VP Biden
-Biden Meeting With Minority Whip Kyl
-Clinton Meeting With Minority Leader McConnell

"I am sad to announce that after 4 years of excellent service, regardless of November's results, Vice President Biden shall not be returning to office. We have decided, that he shall not be rejoining the ticket. He will serve out the remainder of his term til January 20th, at which point a successor, be it Republican or Democrat, shall be sworn in."
1/18/2012
-Arrive on Capitol Hill
-Meeting With Speaker Boehner
-Meeting With House Republican Caucus

"I understand your concerns on the bill. But it is fully paid for. It will not, I repeat, will not add a penny to the deficit. These are common sense measures. And I'm welcome to adding your ideas as well. In fact, I've instructed Majority Leader Reid to have a vote on all Amendments. Some responsible cuts need to be made. But job creation is the top concern. This can become a bipartisan bill. But only, with your support."
1/19/2012
-Cabinet Meeting On Unemployment
-Meeting With Secretary Hillary Clinton
-Meeting With Senator Mark Warner
-Intelligence Briefing

"I think we both know why you're here. It's time."
1/20/2012
-Arrive on Capitol Hill
-Meeting With Senate Republican Conference
-Meeting With Majority Leader Reid
-Meeting With Bill Clinton, John Boehner, & Mitch McConnell
1/21/2012
-Work on State of The Union
-Flight to Helena, Montana
-Meeting With Governor Brian Schweitzer
-Flight to Denver, Colorado
-Meeting With Governor John Hickenlooper

"I gotta proposition for you Governor."

[Spamage]

Hutchison Surrogate Schedules Pt. 2
January 16th-21st, 2012

Susan Collins

16th- Coffee with undecided voters in Greeville
17th- Speech to Republican women in Myrtle Beach
18th- Rally in Beaufort on the Economy
19th- Speech in Allendale attacking the President
20th- Rally in Barnwell with undecided voters
21st- Meet with voters, appear alongside Hutchison following results

Jan Brewer

16th- Rally in Orangeburg focused on foreign policy
17th- Interviews for local newspapers
18th- Speech in Sumter with Republican mothers
19th- Fundraising dinner with small donors in Lake Murray
20th- Canvassing Seven Oaks with campaign volunteers
21st- Meet with voters, appear alongside Hutchison following results

Mark Kirk

16th- Rally in Greenwood with undecided voters
17th- Speech in Easley focused on the economy
18th- Speech in Spartanburg with local officials
19th- Meet with Governor Haley, discuss the campaign
20th- Rally in Camden with Senior Republicans
21st- Meet with voters, appear alongside Hutchison following results

John Rich

16th- Performance in Columbia for Hutchison Fundraiser
17th- Fundraising dinner in Charleston
18th- Meet with voters in Anderson
19th- Performance in North Charleston with Connie Mack speaking
20th- Performance in Charleston for Hutchison rally
21st- Performance for crowd before results are finished reporting

Connie Mack

16th- Fundraiser with small donors in Miami, FL
17th- Canvassing in Florida with campaign volunteers
18th- Appearance on Laura Ingraham's Radio Show
19th- Speaking at Hutchison fundraiser alongside John Rich
20th- Interviews for local TV Stations
21st- Meet with voters, appear alongside Hutchison following results

Mary Fallin

16th- Meet with Republican women in Spartanburg
17th- Rally in Blythewood with undecided voters
18th- Speech in front of State Capitol with Campaign volunteers
19th- Canvassing Charleston with Elizabeth Dole
20th- Interviews on Local Radio Networks
21st- Meet with voters, appear alongside Hutchison following results

Elizabeth Dole

16th- Speech to Young Republicans in Blythewood
17th- Rally in Hanahan with small campaign donors
18th- Fundraisers in Charleston
19th- Speech in Myrtle Beach discussing Kay's devotion
20th- Speech in Andrews on the economy
21st- Meet with voters, appear alongside Hutchison following results

[Lumine]

Mitch Daniels's Schedule: January 16 to January 21, 2012:

Going after a Bolivian Army Ending?

January 16th:
Rally in Columbia, SC.
Barnstorming Columbia, SC.
Rest during the afternoon.

January 17th:
Barnstorm and Rally in Rock Hill, SC.
Barnstorm and Rally in Greenville, SC.
Rally and Fundraiser in Columbia, SC.

"There are many people who think that after four years of disaster the President will suddenly be able to do what he hasn't managed to accomplish yet. How is that? I ask. You can't live on broken promises, and brokes promises is exactly what four more years of Obama will bring us."

January 18th:
Town Hall in Anderson, SC.
Town Hall in Aiken, SC.
Barnstorm in Charleston, SC.
Rally in Charleston, SC.

January 19th:
Bus Tour in Goose Creek, SC.
Rally in Spartanburg, SC.
Bus Tour in Sumter, SC.
Rally in Hilton Head Island, SC.

"There has been a lot of talk on this race about values and beliefs, and what other place better than South Carolina to put those to the test? I'll be candid with you: I'm religious man. I am a man who is ready to fight for life, a man who is ready to fight for his beliefs. I'm only asking you to read my record instead of listening to the comments of other people, since that will give you an accurate picture of my plans for the White House."

January 20th:
Town Hall in Anderson, with John Kasich.
Town Hall in Myrtle Beach, with Rick Perry.
Town Hall in Aiken, SC, with Newt Gingrich.
Rally in Charleston, SC.

January 21th:
Breakfast at Campaign HQ with supporters, Columbia, SC.
Taking a ride across the city greeting supporters.
Barnstorm the countryside of Columbia.
Hold Final Rally with Rick Perry and Newt Gingrich.
Press Conference.
Party in Campaign HQ.
Speech on the Results.

Announcements, Messages and Other Things:

1.- New Ad: "Time for a vote" (Aired in SC along with Proven Conservative):

Mitch Daniels: (Appears on screen after pictures of former South Carolina Primary victors like Ronald Reagan) "South Carolina, the time is arriving for you. It is arriving to decide for a candidate, to send a message, to let your voice be heard. I have said this many times since the Iowa Caucus, but I want to articulate your message and I want to be your voice, and I believe that you will give that chance very soon. I invite you to check our campaign a hear what we have to say, so then you can make your own decision. I'm Mitch Daniels, and I approve this message."

2.- Final South Carolina Speech:

"As I said on my latest ad: the time has arrived, South Carolina! The time for a choice, and time for our journey to the White House to continue. We may win or we may lose tonight, but we will give a surprise, and we will show the real strength of our campaign. I am 100% sure that we will win the nomination and that we will defeat President Obama, and your voice is needed for that. Get out and vote South Carolina, and give us the surprise we want and need!"

[Lumine]

Daniels Campaign Surrogates:

South Carolina:

Newt Gingrich: Bus Tour on South Carolina from January 16 to January 19, visiting Greenville, Summerville, Rock Hill and Mount Pleasant among others.
Rick Perry: Holding rallies in the large cities from January 16 to January 19, like Columbia and Charleston.
John Kasich: Holding town halls in Florence, Spartanburg and Goose Creek from January 16 to January 18, holding rallies in Charleson on January 19.

Florida:

Condi Rice and Rob Portman: Holding rallies for the entire week on Orlando, Miami, Jacksonville and Tampa, Florida.

Nevada:

Brian Sandoval: Barnstorming the entire state during the week, including visits to Reno, Henderson and Las Vegas.
Dan Quayle and Rick Snyder: Holding fundraisers and rallies in Las Vegas and Reno.
Dick Lugar: Bus Tour on Eastern Nevada during the week.
Steve Forbes: Bus Tour on Western Nevada during the week.

Colorado:

Tim Pawlenty and Scott Walker: Barnstorming Denver, Colorado Springs and Aurora.

[Maxwell]

Herman Cain: Disappearing from the Trail



"I want you all to know I support Mitch Daniels heavily. However, after the South Carolina primary, I will be working on my book, so I will be leaving the trail. It has been a great deal of fun, but politics is not my thing!"

Bus Tour in South Carolina - January 16th-19th

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

The Adventures of Barack SkyWalker Continues

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Will the bill pass? Will the economy pick up. How will this affect Ayotte's campaign? Will Michelle approve of the lunch? What will they be eating? Find out next time, on Negotiation Wars Episode II: Attack of The Tea Party

[tmthforu94]

South Carolina results will begin shortly...

[tmthforu94]

Isaac: Tonight, we find out who win's South Carolina, and it's a crucial one. Every recent GOP nominee won South Carolina, and we have another tight race here today.

Debbie: Yes we do, Isaac. Tonight is make-or-break for both Senator Hutchison and Governor Huckabee, who need a win tonight to stay alive. Additionally, where will the Roemer voters go? They could decide who wins here tonight.

Isaac: Polls have consistently shown Senator Hutchison ahead, but a poll was released this morning by CNN which had it tied between her and Huckabee. Could he have the late momentum?

Debbie: I call the poll an outlier - I think tonight's results will be close, but I full expect Senator Hutchison to carry the state. She's ran a great campaign here.

Isaac: And with that, we have our first precincts coming in...

South Carolina (2% Reporting)
Mike Huckabee - 30%
Kay Bailey Hutchison - 22%
Kelly Ayotte - 20%
Mitch Daniels - 19%
Jon Huntsman - 8%

[tmthforu94]

South Carolina (15% Reporting)
Mike Huckabee - 27%
Kay Bailey Hutchison - 26%
Mitch Daniels - 20%
Kelly Ayotte - 18%
Jon Huntsman - 8%

Debbie: A great start for Governor Huckabee, right?

Isaac: Not necessarily - most of these results are coming from the northern part of the state, where Huckabee was expected to do very well. 4 years ago, he polled 29% in the state, which is about what is needed to win. He's underperforming in most precincts thus far.

Debbie: Time will tell - his campaign also spent more time in the Charleston and Columbia areas, so we'll see.

South Carolina (33% Reporting)
Mike Huckabee - 28%
Kay Bailey Hutchison - 26%
Mitch Daniels - 21%
Kelly Ayotte - 16%
Jon Huntsman - 8%

Isaac: We can now project that Jon Huntsman will finish fifth in South Carolina, and Senator Ayotte will finish fourth.

Debbie: Not a bad showing for Ayotte at all, considering she barely spent any time in the state. Her campaign has been firing on all cylinders lately, and I expect her to make a serious push in Florida.

Isaac: Agreed. Many thought she would win New Hampshire and be done...not so. Senator Ayotte is in for the long haul. Though tonight's results make me wonder - with the New Hampshire momentum and debate performances, could Ayotte have won South Carolina had she campaigned here?

Debbie: It's certainly a possibility - it's too early to tell though whether or not her campaign messed up on that.

South Carolina (56% Reporting)
Mike Huckabee - 28%
Kay Bailey Hutchison - 28%
Mitch Daniels - 20%
Kelly Ayotte - 15%
Jon Huntsman - 8%

Isaac: We can now project that Governor Mitch Daniels, winner of the Iowa caucus, will finish third tonight. Another solid showing by the Governor, but his campaign is going to need another win soon.

[tmthforu94]

Isaac: Welcome back! South Carolina is going down to the wire, and we still can't make a projection in the state.

Debbie: Governor Huckabee has come out much stronger than most anticipated, but I don't think it will be enough. Charleston still has quite a bit to report, and so far, it appears Hutchison will take it by a hefty margin.

South Carolina (70% Reporting)
Kay Bailey Hutchison - 29%
Mike Huckabee - 27%
Mitch Daniels - 21%
Kelly Ayotte - 15%
Jon Huntsman - 7%

Isaac: And Kay Bailey Hutchison has now pulled ahead. What happens if she wins tonight?

Debbie: You see her surge - Looking at the upcoming states, I think Senator Hutchison may be in the best position to win the nomination. She has run a very impressive, positive campaign.

South Carolina (88% Reporting)
Kay Bailey Hutchison - 29%
Mike Huckabee - 28%
Mitch Daniels - 20%
Kelly Ayotte - 15%
Jon Huntsman - 7%

[Spamage]

Tweet from Hutchinson Campaign:

We are encouraged by the results so far out of SC! Tune in later for our speech alongside @ChrisChristie, @LindseyGraham, @SusanaMartinez, and many more!

[tmthforu94]

Isaac: Things are getting down to the wire, but a projection should be made soon.

Debbie: Yes, here are the results currently.

South Carolina (94% Reporting)
Kay Bailey Hutchison - 28%
Mike Huckabee - 27%
Mitch Daniels - 21%
Kelly Ayotte - 15%
Jon Huntsman - 7%

Isaac: And we are now ready to make a projection...

Kay Bailey Hutchison has won the South Carolina primary!

Debbie: Despite there being enough precincts left for Huckabee to conceivably take the lead, almost all come from areas Hutchison is performing strongly in, and we don't see that changing.

Isaac: Interesting, the map here almost parallels the map four years ago between McCain and Huckabee. Though closer, Governor Huckabee once again comes up just short.

South Carolina (100% Reporting)
Kay Bailey Hutchison - 29%
Mike Huckabee - 27%
Mitch Daniels - 20%
Kelly Ayotte - 15%
Jon Huntsman - 7%

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

OOC: I don't see how Huckabee walks away from this. He'd be best served endorsing Ayotte, as she's the most conservative in the race.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

OOC: I don't see how Huckabee walks away from this. He'd be best served endorsing Ayotte, as she's the most conservative in the race.

I think Huckabee still has somewhat of a chance if he can regain momentum by Super Tuesday.

[NHI]

Huckabee Concession Speech:

[Cheers: We want Mike! We want Mike!]
"Thank you, thank you all you. What a night. [Cheers]. I just got off the phone and congratulated Senator Hutchison on her victory here tonight. [Applause] I want to thank my extraordinary campaign staff for all they did in South Carolina. I especially want to thank my friend Chuck Norris. He has been a great resource for this campaign, crisscrossing the country. Chuck, thank you from the bottom of my heart. I also want to thank Senator Jim DeMint for his support throughout this process, it means a lot to have you on our team. And last, but certainly not least, thank you to all of you, the life of this campaign. Thank you for all you've done, and I am sorry if I let you down tonight. Like Iowa, we came up just a little short and once again we take the silver. [Cheers/Applause]

Tonight our campaign is at a crossroads. A decision to be made, whether we will continue on this journey, for the nomination, or swallow our pride and step to the side. I will say this, that no decision will be made tonight. [Cheers] Tonight we celebrate in all of our hard work in the state and applaud the victory of Senator Hutchison.

Thank you. God Bless you and God Bless America."

[Maxwell]

OOC: I think its down to Daniels v. Hutchinson, though I think Ayotte and Huntsman still have chances to make it into that top bracket. Huckabee needs to fix up his campaign strategy if he wants another shot at this. Maybe Missouri.

[Spamage]

    "Thank you South Carolina! (cheering) Tonight you've voted for a better future and a new presidency, you're making a statement that we want to more of the status quo in the White House! We need a President who tackles unemployment, underemployment, foreign policy, and many more pressing issues facing our nation today and let me tellya, that person is not Barack Obama. No the President has done little when it comes to the Economic downturn, his policies are serving only to be a hindrance to job creation and job growth and punish small businesses, something we ought to be promoting!

    I don't know if I'd be here tonight if it wasn't for all of you. Your tireless volunteering, canvassing, and support has been a huge factor in my campaign and I must say I am truly grateful. I'd also like to think Lindsey Graham and Tim Scott, your guys' campaigning was a huge boost in this race and without it I'm not sure we wouldv'e won. Our message is spreading! Next its on to Florida, then Super Tuesday, then the RNC, and then the White House!  South Carolina, thank you!"

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Huntsman Campaign Statement.

"We congratulate Senator Hutchison on her victory tonight, and we look forward to continuing our national dialogue with her and the other candidates in Florida and Nevada as our party's voters review the candidates who will take on the President in November."

[Lumine]

Daniels Concession Speech:

I'll be honest with you, since you deserve the truth: We may have been defeated tonight, but our campaign remains solid and strong, and the following primaries will be the place were we mount the comeback for our ideas and our message.

I'd like to personally congratulate Senator Hutchinson on her victory, since she successfully resisted the calls for negative campaign and she has been very effective on the campaign trail. My congratulations to Gov. Huckabee as well, it was well fought, and I think he may have also won this round by giving a close run to tonight's winner.

What else can I say? My most sincere thanks to the voters and our supporters, and from here we go back to the campaign trail! Thank you very much!

[NHI]

HUCKABEE CAMPAIGN Statement:

Top Adviser Ed Rollins to step aside, Joe Allbaugh to replace. Mike Biundo assumes post as Campaign Manager

"We appreciate Senior Adviser Ed Rollins and Campaign Manger Chip Saltsman for all their efforts on the Huckabee Campaign. We wish them well."

[JerryArkansas]

Ayotte Campaign Statement.
We would like to congratulate Kay on her win in South Carolina, and would like to point out that now two different women have won a primary, which is historic in the rep party, and we hope that we can still win more, now lets move this to Florida.

[tmthforu94]

January 22nd - 28th now!!!

RealClearPolitics

Polling Update

NATIONAL AVERAGE

Hutchison: 27%
Daniels: 25%
Ayotte: 19%
Huckabee: 14%
Huntsman: 11%
Someone Else/Not Sure: 4%

FLORIDA

Ayotte: 25%
Hutchison: 24%
Huntsman: 18%
Daniels: 18%
Huckabee: 10%
Someone Else/Not Sure: 5%

NEVADA

Huntsman: 30%
Hutchison: 20%
Daniels: 17%
Ayotte: 16%
Huckabee: 11%
Someone Else/Not Sure: 6%

OHIO

Daniels: 27%
Hutchison: 22%
Huckabee: 17%
Ayotte: 15%
Huntsman: 10%
Someone Else/Not Sure: 8%

Virginia
A test of who's paying attention: You must request ballot access via PM in Virginia this week. Otherwise you will not be on the ballot there!!!

Daniels: 25%
Hutchison: 24%
Ayotte: 20%
Huckabee: 15%
Huntsman: 8%
Someone Else/Not Sure: 8%

ILLINOIS

Daniels: 30%
Hutchison: 20%
Ayotte: 16%
Huckabee: 15%
Huntsman: 7%
Someone Else/Not Sure: 12%

Hutchison takes South Carolina!

Could the Republicans nominate a female President?

It's certainly looking like that is a real possibility, after Senator Hutchison's win in South Carolina. The race moves on to Florida, where guess what? Ayotte and Hutchison are first and second there. Ayotte made the strategic decision to essentially skip South Carolina and focus on Florida, and it has thus paid off, as she leads in the polls there. More and more conservatives are uniting around her campaign, as she is currently perceived as the most "Anti-Obama" candidate in the race. Speaking of conservatives...what's happened to Governor Huckabee? His campaign has fallen just short in Iowa and South Carolina, and many are left wondering what options he has left? His best bet is probably Missouri, then the Super Tuesday states, but can his campaign, which is beginning to struggle in fundraising and momentum, last that long?

"Randomizer" (Will reflect in next polling update)

Ayotte praised by Tea Party leaders - said to be the only "outsider" in the race

This turn will last for 72 hours! Please PM me on which states would would like to see polled.

[Maxwell]

OOC: Considering the amount of fundies in the Minnesota GOP electorate, Minnesota is also an option for Huckabee.