Election Night 2032

[JerryArkansas]

what are the polls like in Arkansas

[Emperor Charles V]

It's 8:40 PM and we can now make another projection. The once strong Democratic state of Illinois will go to Senator Schock. This is not a surprising projection with Illinois being Schock's home state where he served as a senator, two-term governor and a representative and with Schock leading by five points in the state's poll. However, having a former Democratic stronghold being projected as a Republican win so early in the evening worries the Newsom campaign.


Here is the electoral map. Mr. Schock is in the lead again with 98 electoral votes. Mr. Newsom is still at 90.

[Emperor Charles V]

what are the polls like in Arkansas

Newsom is in the lead with 55% to Schock's 43%. Schock barely has a chance there.

In 2032, Arkansas is the most liberal state of the south. It was one of the only four southern States Newsom won in 2028 against a southerner, Eric Cantor (the other three being Tennessee, Louisiana and Texas).

[Emperor Charles V]

It's 8:45 PM EST on election night 2032. Five minutes ago, we projected that Senator Aaron Schock will win his home state of Illinois. Now, we can project two more states, one for each candidate.

Up in the north, Senator Schock will be winning the remaining three electoral votes of Maine including the first congressional district as well as the statewide vote.

On the other hand President Newsom has been projected to win Arkansas, the most liberal state of the south which he won as well in 2028. Arkansas is the home state of former preisdent Bill Clinton who with his daughter Chelsea has been vigorously campaigning for Newsom's re-election.

Here is the electoral map. Mr. Schock the first to break a hundred having 101 Electoral Votes. Mr. Newsom is close behind at 95.

[Emperor Charles V]

It's 8:53 PM and we have another huge projection to make for Senator Schock. The senator will be taking the 21 electoral votes belonging the state of Ohio. This is a state the Newsom campaign wanted to begin but is not that crucial in the president's road to re-election.

Here is the electoral map. Mr. Schock surges ahead with 122 Electoral Votes. Mr. Newsom is still at 95.

[Emperor Charles V]

It's 8:57 PM just minutes before the 9:00 polls would close. A few minutes ago, we projected Ohio for Senator Schock sending him farther into the lead. Now we can project another state this time for the president.

President Newsom will be winning the state of Connecticut as he did back in 2028. Although Schock provided more of a challenge to Newsom than Cantor did in Connecticut, the president is still able to win the state by a comfortable margin.

Here is the electoral map. Mr. Schock is still leading with 122 Electoral Votes but Mr. Newsom is catching up with 102.

The 9:00 polls will be closing very shortly. Will the outcomes of those states swing the vote for Newsom but will Schock continually get closer to the presidency? Stay tuned to find out!

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

How did Ohio gain 3 EVs? It's been losing them rapidly.

I have a feeling Texas will be the big bellwether here.

[Vern]

How did Ohio gain 3 EVs? It's been losing them rapidly.

I have a feeling Texas will be the big bellwether here.

He also has NC only having 17 EV and GA at 20 when both of them states have been growing close to the same rate for years now.

[badgate]

And if nobody else noticed, the new number needed to win is 290. Oh, and Puerto Rico is a state.

[Emperor Charles V]

Thanks for all the input guys! As you can see, population distribution is much different in twenty years (just think of the map in 1992 compared to the map today). There is increased urbanization and states with big cities have benefitted from it. Puerto Rico is a state (since 2017) as is Pacifica or all the American territory in the Pacific save Hawaii (since 2021).

As for Texas, yes it will be a bloodbath there. Georgia and Texas are the Ohio and Florida of 2032. In 2028, Gavin Newsom became the first Democrat to win Texas in 52 years (although he only won by barely two points). Will he win the crucial state again this year.

[badgate]

With the help the islands of Pacifica presumably provided in taking care of North Korea they're certainly entitled to statehood. I imagine there'd be a pretty big outcry if Puerto Rico and Pacifica were made states but DC hasn't been, though.

[Emperor Charles V]

With the help the islands of Pacifica presumably provided in taking care of North Korea they're certainly entitled to statehood. I imagine there'd be a pretty big outcry if Puerto Rico and Pacifica were made states but DC hasn't been, though.

DC is not a "state" but it's representative and senators have the right to vote in congress. So technically, they are not a state in name only.

[Emperor Charles V]

It's 9:00 EST, and we can now make a number of projections in states where the polls have just closed. At this hour, we can make the following projections:

In Arizona: Too early to call but Schock leads
In Colorado: Too early to call but Newsom leads
In Kansas: Aaron Schock is the projected winner
In Minnesota: Too early to call but Schock leads
In Nebraska:
     Statewide: Too early to call but Schock leads
     1st District: Too close to call
     2nd District: Too early to call but Schock leads
     3rd District: Aaron Schock is the projected winner
In New Mexico: Too close to call
In New York: Too early to call but Newsom leads
In North Dakota: Too early to call but Schock leads
In South Dakota: Too close to call
In Texas: Too close to call
In Wisconsin: Aaron Schock is the projected winner
In Wyoming: Aaron Schock is the projected winner

Here is the electoral map at 9pm: Mr. Schock has 136 Electoral Votes, Mr. Newsom is still at 102.

[badgate]

With the help the islands of Pacifica presumably provided in taking care of North Korea they're certainly entitled to statehood. I imagine there'd be a pretty big outcry if Puerto Rico and Pacifica were made states but DC hasn't been, though.

DC is not a "state" but it's representative and senators have the right to vote in congress. So technically, they are not a state in name only.

Separate but equal, eh?