PPP (National Poll): Hillary with small leads, Biden actually trails Christie (user search)
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  PPP (National Poll): Hillary with small leads, Biden actually trails Christie (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP (National Poll): Hillary with small leads, Biden actually trails Christie  (Read 1931 times)
Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,073
United States


« on: April 03, 2013, 06:11:07 PM »

Clinton 46%
Christie 42%

Clinton 49%
Paul 43%

Clinton 49%
Rubio 42%

Clinton 50%
Ryan 43%

Christie 49%
Biden 40%

Biden 47%
Paul 43%

Biden 46%
Rubio 44%

Biden 48%
Ryan 45%
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 03, 2013, 08:13:01 PM »

favorable/unfavorable ratings:

Christie 39/28% for +11%
Clinton 50/42% for +8%
Rubio 35/30% for +5%
Ryan 42/39% for +3%
Warren 23/22% for +1%
Paul 36/37% for -1%
Martinez 14/17% for -3%
Jindal 24/28% for -4%
Patrick 11/15% for -4%
Warner 11/15% for -4%
O'Malley 7/13% for -6%
Biden 40/47% for -7%
Bush 30/37% for -7%
Gillibrand 11/18% for -7%
Schweitzer 5/13% for -8%
Santorum 27/41% for -14%
Cuomo 22/36% for -14%
Perry 24/41% for -17%

Christie is actually more popular with Democrats than Republicans:

Christie fav/unfav:
Dems: 42/22% for +20%
Reps: 39/30% for +9%
Indies: 37/31% for +6%

Whereas Clinton's popularity comes more from her huge numbers among Democrats:

Clinton fav/unfav:
Dems: 87/8% for +79%
Reps: 17/74% for -57%
Indies: 42/47% for -5%

If Christie's name recognition was as high as Clinton's he'd probably be tied with or even slightly ahead of Clinton.

Biden, Clinton, and Cuomo all have huge gender gaps in their favorability.  Much bigger than any of the Republicans.

Clinton fav/unfav:
men: 45/50% for -5%
women: 55/34% for +21%

Rubio has (barely) net positive favorability among Hispanics.  The only other Republican with net positive favorability among Hispanics is Christie.

Rubio fav/unfav:
Hispanics 39/38% for +1%
whites 36/29% for +7%
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


« Reply #2 on: April 09, 2013, 07:46:20 AM »

Certainly not a terrible result for Republicans - Clinton certainly isn't invincible like some on here would like to believe, though it's an uphill climb.

She is the only one with a favorable rating at or above 50%. In fact she is the only one with a favorability rating even close to 50%!

The Republicans are going to need someone with the political skills of Barack Obama to beat her in the general election should she be the nominee.  Who could that be?

Ronald Reagan is no longer available. 

It's partially just a consequence of her being the only one with >90% name recognition.  If Christie had the same name recognition as Hillary Clinton, he'd be at 50% favorability too!  Obviously, once the campaign gets started, some of these other candidates will build on their current name recognition, and the GOP nominee, whoever he turns out to be, will have name recognition comparable to Clinton by Election Day 2016.

Not to say that that nominee's favorability will match Clinton's on election day, but your 1-to-1 comparison of the favorable number at this point seems pretty silly.
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