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  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  2016 Primary Map Thread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 178284 times)
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
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Posts: 12,981
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« on: June 15, 2015, 07:46:14 pm »

This is based on actual polls, Dan.

I find it amazing Rubio is not winning a single state yet I still deem him the most likely winner.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,981
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« Reply #1 on: August 24, 2015, 10:33:13 pm »
« Edited: August 24, 2015, 10:36:16 pm by Srs Trump Supporter »

MO 01 for Sanders can be explained simply as Ferguson. Yes African Americans generally don't appreciate Sanders, but it is often cited it is because they are Democrats living in the real word looking for practical help, not a revolutionary candidate. Ferguson is not the real world. It was a militarized war zone in the middle of America. A revolution has taken place there. BLM was born there, and they have put out a platform mostly backed by Sanders. It's easy to take a monolithic voting group and extend it nationally, but when we see a deviation, it can help to find an explanation. I'm not saying this is certainly right, but it does make intuitive sense rather than dismissing it so quickly.

That being said, isidewith is a terrible measure of potential primary vote.
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