2016 Primary Map Thread

[Crumpets]

Solarstorm, where did you find numbers for Idaho?

[Crumpets]

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

OR is already a statistical tie.

Does anybody have the numbers for South Dakota? I see it says Hillary ahead 30-49% on Wikipedia, but they don't have the poll anywhere in their list.

[Crumpets]

Here's the last month's worth of "polling" done via ISideWith.com by congressional district:

That's a pretty cool tool, although their Democratic primary results are... suspicious to say the least.

Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton

[Crumpets]

Here's ISideWith's Democratic primary map by congressional district. Pretty unquestionably slanted in favor of Sanders, I think, but still pretty accurate as a PVI-style map. Instead of using all results from the past month, I chose the option for the most 1,000 recent votes from each district solely because it shows more contrast.

[Crumpets]

Your comments to polls are very objective, not partisan.

pbrower should take note: include every poll, just make it's significance conform to your narrative.

[Crumpets]

By the way, here's a preview of what that map will look like if/when Biden declares he's not running. A couple of states don't have Biden-less data, so I either didn't include those states if he had large numbers, or simply kept the same colors if it didn't look like it made much of a difference.

[Crumpets]

Here's the above map with Atlas shading:

I couldn't figure out how to give Vermont 10% shading without it just looking like a tie, so I gave Trump the 20% shading.

[Crumpets]

And here's the map for the Democrats:

Ted Cruz is not ahead in Iowa.

That's why you should use an average, not just the latest poll.

I'm just using the numbers on this page.

[Crumpets]

There is now an unbroken chain of anti-Trump states from Mexico to Canada. Just something to keep in mind when the inevitable civil war breaks out after this election and we're trying to anaconda the pro-Trump forces.

[Crumpets]

Wulfric, don't forget to include the CBS and Fox polls of Indiana.

[Crumpets]

I say fraud! Ben Carson was leading in Nebraska for months!