2016 Primary Map Thread
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Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 195433 times)
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #400 on: February 07, 2016, 01:32:57 PM »

NH: Sanders +10
AR: Clinton +32
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 62-30 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 52-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 45-24-23 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #401 on: February 08, 2016, 08:18:52 AM »

Clinton only up 21 in NY!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 62-30 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 52-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #402 on: February 08, 2016, 11:01:26 AM »
« Edited: February 08, 2016, 11:39:53 AM by عبدالله الحظرد »

New Day for America shows Rubio in fourth place in New Hampshire, following Saturday's debate; Siena College polls New York.


Donald Trump: 39 States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 41-22 Trump-Cruz
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 35-21-21 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-15 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 38-16 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #403 on: February 08, 2016, 11:13:24 AM »

You're seriously including an Internal?
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #404 on: February 08, 2016, 11:20:40 AM »

You're seriously including an Internal?

It's the only poll released so far that is entirely post-debate, so yes, I am including it for now. I will replace it when a more recent poll is released.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #405 on: February 08, 2016, 12:08:37 PM »

Clinton up 29 in MI
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 62-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 52-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 53-28 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #406 on: February 08, 2016, 12:25:56 PM »
« Edited: February 08, 2016, 01:16:55 PM by عبدالله الحظرد »

Florida Southern College polls Florida; Mitchell Research polls Michigan; High Point University polls North Carolina.


Donald Trump: 39 States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-15 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #407 on: February 08, 2016, 02:28:09 PM »

Clinton up 26 in NC; Cratering in FL!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win (when needed)

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 52-42 Sanders
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-29 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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LLR
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« Reply #408 on: February 08, 2016, 06:05:37 PM »

Florida Southern College polls Florida; Mitchell Research polls Michigan; High Point University polls North Carolina.


Donald Trump: 39 States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-15 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz

Considering Rand dropped out, you should probably get rid of the Kentucky poll.
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PJ
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« Reply #409 on: February 08, 2016, 08:15:37 PM »

You're seriously including an Internal?

cc: irony ore mine.

You're including overtime polls; you have literally no room to criticize other people's inclusion of supposed sh**t polls.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #410 on: February 09, 2016, 10:15:54 AM »

ARG polls New Hampshire.

Considering Rand dropped out, you should probably get rid of the Kentucky poll.

Thanks for the suggestion, but I think I'll wait until the state is polled again.


Donald Trump: 39 States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 33-17 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #411 on: February 10, 2016, 12:09:43 AM »
« Edited: February 10, 2016, 05:29:09 PM by Wulfric »

Sanders wins 60-38 in NH!
  
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 47-43 Clinton
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-29 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #412 on: February 10, 2016, 02:14:12 AM »
« Edited: February 10, 2016, 02:19:14 AM by عبدالله الحظرد »

With 92% of the vote in, Trump leads in New Hampshire by nineteen points, as per CNN. Should the margin change, I will update this post in the morning.


Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 35-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #413 on: February 10, 2016, 01:48:56 PM »

SoonerPoll shows narrow Trump lead in Oklahoma.


Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #414 on: February 12, 2016, 11:17:52 AM »

Trump leading nearly two-to-one in South Carolina, as per Opinion Savvy.


Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 36-20 Trump-Cruz
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #415 on: February 12, 2016, 11:35:01 AM »

An exact tie in Nevada!!!!
  
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 52-39 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 45-45 Tie
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-29 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« Reply #416 on: February 12, 2016, 11:42:13 AM »

Clinton only up 6 in MA!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 50-44 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 45-45 Tie
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-29 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 64-27 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #417 on: February 13, 2016, 07:18:30 PM »

ARG shows Kasich in second (?!) in South Carolina.


Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-15 Trump-Kasich
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

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« Reply #418 on: February 14, 2016, 11:54:30 AM »

Clinton up 19 in SC
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 50-44 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 45-45 Tie
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-29 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 59-40 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 54-39 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #419 on: February 15, 2016, 07:22:02 PM »

Apparently, the South Carolina House Republican Caucus conducts polls. They show Trump leading Rubio 33-14 in the Palmetto State post-debate.


Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 33-14 Trump-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-19 Trump-Cruz
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« Reply #420 on: February 16, 2016, 01:39:29 AM »

Clinton almost losing VA!!!!!!!!
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 50-44 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 45-45 Tie
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-29 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 59-40 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 49-46 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,697
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Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

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« Reply #421 on: February 16, 2016, 08:02:51 AM »
« Edited: February 16, 2016, 09:08:41 AM by Sorenroy »


The poll shows a 51-40 split in VA, not nearly that close. Also, Iowa should be 50-50 with rounding.

Edit:
I just realized you are using Overtime for this poll. Please switch it to the other Virginia poll since that one was released the same day.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #422 on: February 16, 2016, 03:18:16 PM »

PPP polls South Carolina; Christopher Newport University polls Virginia.

Donald Trump: 39 (1) States
Ted Cruz: 5 (1) States
Ben Carson: 3 States
Rand Paul: 1 State
Marco Rubio: 1 State

EXACT RESULTS:

AL 40-21 Trump-Cruz
AK 28-24 Trump-Cruz
AR 27-23-23 Cruz-Rubio-Trump
AZ 38-16 Trump-Cruz
CA 25-23 Cruz-Trump
CO 25-19 Carson-Rubio
CT 25-14 Trump-Rubio
DE 30-25 Trump-Carson
FL 27-20 Trump-Rubio
GA 27-18 Trump-Cruz
ID 30-19 Trump-Carson
IL 30-15 Trump-Cruz
IN 26-17-17 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
IA 28-24 Cruz-Trump
KS 25-18 Trump-Carson
KY 29-21 Paul-Bush
LA 23-19 Carson-Trump
ME 33-23 Trump-Carson
MD 32-15 Trump-Cruz
MA 40-17 Trump-Rubio
MI 41-20 Trump-Rubio
MN 23-21 Rubio-Cruz
MS 54-13 Trump-Bush
MO 36-24 Trump-Cruz
MT 22-19 Trump-Carson
NE 32-27 Carson-Trump
NV 33-20 Trump-Cruz
NH 35-16 Trump-Kasich
NJ 30-14 Trump-Christie
NM 31-28 Trump-Carson
NY 34-16-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
NC 26-22 Trump-Cruz
ND 32-29 Trump-Carson
OH 27-22 Trump-Carson
OK 30-25 Trump-Cruz
OR 31-30 Trump-Carson
PA 24-14 Trump-Cruz
RI 33-16 Trump-Rubio
SC 35-18-18 Trump-Cruz-Rubio
SD 31-29 Trump-Carson
TN 34-26 Trump-Cruz
TX 30-25 Cruz-Trump
UT 18-17 Cruz-Trump
VT 32-21 Trump-Rubio
VA 28-22 Trump-Rubio
WA 28-27 Trump-Carson
WV 37-11 Trump-Bush
WI 24-18 Trump-Rubio
WY 22-18 Trump-Cruz
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,578
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« Reply #423 on: February 16, 2016, 04:36:08 PM »


The poll shows a 51-40 split in VA, not nearly that close. Also, Iowa should be 50-50 with rounding.

Edit:
I just realized you are using Overtime for this poll. Please switch it to the other Virginia poll since that one was released the same day.

Done. CNN SC Poll also added.
 
Democratic Map:

Red 30% - Clinton leads by less than 10 points
Red 50% - Clinton leads by 10 to 20 points
Red 70% - Clinton leads by 21 to 30 points
Red 90% - Clinton leads by 31+ points

Blue 50% - Actual Clinton win

Green 50% - Sanders lead
Green 90% - Actual Sanders win

Yellow 50% - Tied

Gray - No Polls




EXACT RESULTS. Sanders & Clinton are top two in all states unless otherwise noted:

AL - 78-10 Clinton
AK - 44-41 Clinton
AR - 57-25 Clinton
AZ-  47-19 Clinton
CA - 46-35 Clinton
CO - 49-36 Clinton
CT - 50-31 Clinton
FL - 43-26 Clinton
GA - 63-22 Clinton
ID - 44-41 Clinton
IL - 51-40 Clinton
IA - 50-49 Clinton (actual result)
KS - 62-14-4-4 Clinton/Warren/Biden/Cuomo
KY - 56-12 Clinton
LA - 57-22-7 Clinton/Biden/Sanders
ME - 56-41 Sanders
MD - 40-27 Clinton
MA - 50-44 Clinton
MI - 57-28 Clinton
MN - 48-45 Clinton
MO - 47-42 Clinton
MT - 55-35 Clinton
NV - 45-45 Tie
NH - 60-38 Sanders (actual result)
NJ - 60-19 Clinton
NY - 55-34 Clinton
NC - 55-29 Clinton
OH - 51-46 Clinton
OK - 51-41 Clinton
OR - 44-39 Clinton
PA - 55-28 Clinton
SC - 56-38 Clinton
TN - 50-38 Clinton
TX - 50-16 Clinton
UT - 50-40 Clinton
VT - 63-29 Sanders
VA - 52-40 Clinton
WA - 45-36 Clinton
WV - 36-32 Clinton
WI - 45-43 Clinton
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Nathan Towne
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United States


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« Reply #424 on: February 16, 2016, 07:06:46 PM »

Jonathan, have you noticed that the color that you are using for states that Ted Cruz has won (currently Iowa) looks much more like a darker shade of the color that you are using for Rubio than the color that you are using for Cruz. Perhaps a dark yellow would be better and the current color that you are using for states that Cruz wins could be used for states that Rubio claims instead.
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