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  Talk Elections
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  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  2016 Primary Map Thread
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Author Topic: 2016 Primary Map Thread  (Read 168629 times)
Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« on: March 24, 2013, 11:49:24 am »

There really isn't a point in doing the Democrats.


Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2013, 02:28:20 pm »

No way Bush and Rubio both run.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #2 on: March 24, 2013, 02:39:25 pm »

There really isn't a point in doing the Democrats.

Why not?
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Beat-‘Em-All Beto
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« Reply #3 on: March 24, 2013, 02:52:42 pm »


Green: Hillary Clinton
That's why.
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #4 on: March 28, 2013, 09:49:16 pm »


LOL
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #5 on: April 02, 2013, 02:59:48 pm »
« Edited: April 11, 2013, 06:13:53 pm by Mehmentum »



Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: April 02, 2013, 05:53:39 pm »

I don't think it makes sense to count that Virginia poll, since it's a poll of all voters, not just GOP primary voters.  They're counting people who also gave an answer on the Democratic primary question in the poll.  I'd wait to see if they release the crosstabs, so you can see who the Republicans picked.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: April 02, 2013, 08:41:50 pm »

You can also add to the map this PPP poll of North Carolina from December which had Rubio in the lead:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/12/nc-gop-voters-prefer-foxx-for-senate.html
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #8 on: April 03, 2013, 06:26:44 am »

Odd Virginia poll, oh well.

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: April 08, 2013, 08:08:08 pm »

Now that Paul's surged into second place in PPP's latest national poll (and a close third place in Quinnipiac), he's bound to be leading in some states.  Any guesses as to where he'd be leading right now, if PPP or someone else magically polled all 50 states tomorrow, where would Paul be ahead of Rubio, Christie, and the rest of the field?
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #10 on: April 08, 2013, 08:09:15 pm »

I think that paul could be leading in the midwest, and some in the south, and west
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #11 on: April 08, 2013, 08:16:05 pm »

Montana is pretty libertarian so he could be leading there and some other western states. Kentucky is an obvious one, but he could also potentially do well in the rest of the South, being a Southerner himself is a big boost.

Iowa will be interesting.  Ron Paul did very well in 2012, and Rand could potentially reach a wider audience within the Republican party.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #12 on: April 11, 2013, 06:01:23 pm »

Paul leads in Kentucky.

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #13 on: April 13, 2013, 08:14:20 am »

I think that paul could be leading in the midwest, and some in the south, and west

Well, Rubio's still ahead nationally, so Paul should only be leading in a minority of states.  Maybe Christie leads throughout the Northeast (+maybe California?), Paul leads in much of the West, and Rubio leads in most of the Midwest and South.  Paul of course leads in Kentucky, but not sure about the rest of Appalachia.  I guess PPP is polling Colorado next, and that should be interesting.  It's the first Western state they will have done (if you don't count Alaska).
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Zarn
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« Reply #14 on: April 13, 2013, 08:47:50 am »

I think that paul could be leading in the midwest, and some in the south, and west

Well, Rubio's still ahead nationally, so Paul should only be leading in a minority of states.  Maybe Christie leads throughout the Northeast (+maybe California?), Paul leads in much of the West, and Rubio leads in most of the Midwest and South.  Paul of course leads in Kentucky, but not sure about the rest of Appalachia.  I guess PPP is polling Colorado next, and that should be interesting.  It's the first Western state they will have done (if you don't count Alaska).


Paul's favorability is slightly higher than Rubio's, so he may be taking over the national lead soon. With Rubio's unpopular immigration push, it may quicken the lead change.
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Senator Scott🦋
Scott
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« Reply #15 on: April 16, 2013, 12:03:28 pm »
« Edited: April 16, 2013, 12:08:48 pm by Governor Scott »



I feel like it will be something like this.

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Maroon: Paul
Green: Ryan

Paul comes to a close second in most of the Southern states.  Christie makes a strong showing in Georgia.
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Zarn
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« Reply #16 on: April 16, 2013, 12:37:01 pm »

Rubio is being slammed on immigration right now. I don't think he is going to last. Another neocon is going to have to step up, eventually.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #17 on: April 25, 2013, 03:59:41 pm »

PPP has Paul leading in New Hampshire, Christie is in third.

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #18 on: May 21, 2013, 08:58:55 pm »

Cruz leads in Texas, Paul leads in Iowa, Rubio leads in New Hampshire.

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #19 on: June 09, 2013, 01:37:44 pm »

PPP has Rubio leading in VA.

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #20 on: June 10, 2013, 12:16:23 pm »

Paul leads in MI per PPP.

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #21 on: July 01, 2013, 12:05:03 pm »

Paul leads in Montana.

Red: Rubio
Blue: Christie
Green: Ryan
Yellow: Bush
Dark Yellow: Paul
Pink: Cruz
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Flake
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« Reply #22 on: July 08, 2013, 05:55:18 am »

I'm still wondering why PPP, or any national poller for that matter, has not polled California, because it has the most (or second most) republicans in the United States
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mattyman
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« Reply #23 on: July 09, 2013, 04:28:55 am »

Isn't the primary generally decided by the time it gets to California?
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Heptahedron
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« Reply #24 on: July 10, 2013, 04:16:55 pm »

Isn't the primary generally decided by the time it gets to California?

I would say so. It is usually more like Super Tuesday, if everything goes well, or Pennsylvania if the battle is more drawn out.
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