EP elections 2014

[Enno von Loewenstern]

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen

CDU/CSU 38%
SPD 27%
Greens 11%
Left 8%
AfD 6%
FDP 3%
Others 7%

[justfollowingtheelections]

A poll on the winner of last night's debate from europedecides.eu

Full #TellEurope poll results:
@tsipras_eu 50%
@GuyVerhofstadt 33%
@SkaKeller 10%
@MartinSchulz 5%
@JunckerEU 3%

and yet, the commission president will be either Juncker or Schulz .

[afleitch]

I still haven't made up my mind on who to vote for with a few days to go. That's probably the latest decision since I first started voting.

[EPG]

How the Periphery views the Spitzenkandidaten: "European debate, between people you probably wouldn’t recognise, takes place".

Very important point:

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[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

I still haven't made up my mind on who to vote for with a few days to go. That's probably the latest decision since I first started voting.

Vote Tory!

[SPQR]

Latest polls give EPP a 3 seats lead on the PES.

[Tender Branson]

Vorarlberg (Austrian state) EU poll:

[Tender Branson]

New Austrian poll (Unique Research/Profil):

26% ÖVP
25% SPÖ
20% FPÖ
13% Greens
10% NEOS
  6% Others

http://www.profil.at/articles/1420/576/375257/umfrage-oevp-eu-wahl-neos-gruenen

Worst result for NEOS in quite a few months.

[Diouf]

Increased speculation that DF and the Finns Party might join the ECR after the elections. Some of the moderate Tory MEPs are warning against an inclusion of these parties, but I think it's fair to say that they are in a minority in the party.

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www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/may/16/conservative-leader-euro-parliament-courts-anti-immigration-party

[Enno von Loewenstern]

Increased speculation that DF and the Finns Party might join the ECR after the elections. Some of the moderate Tory MEPs are warning against an inclusion of these parties, but I think it's fair to say that they are in a minority in the party.

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www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/may/16/conservative-leader-euro-parliament-courts-anti-immigration-party

According to rumors, AfD is not included, as Merkel has intervened (which means that Merkel leads two groups now   ) The AfD is now trying to form a group with ODS, PiS, NOVA etc. N-VA goes probably with ECR. If the Tories really take the Finns and DPP on board, UKIP will have a huge problem to continue EFD. It will be exiting to see, how the different eurosceptical forces will group in the new EP. I really would like to see a group consisting of Tories, PiS, ODS, AfD, N-VA, Finns, DPP, CU and other moderate national conservative parties.

[You kip if you want to...]

If they take True Finns and DPP, good luck tryna call UKIP out as extreme.

[politicus]

If they take True Finns and DPP, good luck tryna call UKIP out as extreme.

It might create the opposite problem for the DPP as a partnership with the Tories would jeopardize their attempt to be seen as right wing Social Democrats. Their lone present representative Morten Messerschmidt is a right winger on economics (and climate change.. and prety much everything else..), but with 3-4 seat after the elections their group would include SD-types. So they would run the same risk as last time when Anna Rosbach left and later joined The Environmental Party - Focus.
Tories = respectability, but also the kind of policies their working class voters and pensioners don't like.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

I still haven't made up my mind on who to vote for with a few days to go. That's probably the latest decision since I first started voting.

me neither actually. i'm certainly not thrilled that all the halfways decent parties want to ban gmos.

[Franzl]

I still haven't made up my mind on who to vote for with a few days to go. That's probably the latest decision since I first started voting.

me neither actually. i'm certainly not thrilled that all the halfways decent parties want to ban gmos.

I'm undecided as well. Have been considering voting for "Die Partei" for the lulz....

[Hifly]

I still haven't made up my mind on who to vote for with a few days to go. That's probably the latest decision since I first started voting.

me neither actually. i'm certainly not thrilled that all the halfways decent parties want to ban gmos.

I'm undecided as well. Have been considering voting for "Die Partei" for the lulz....

Vote CDU.

[Franzl]

I still haven't made up my mind on who to vote for with a few days to go. That's probably the latest decision since I first started voting.

me neither actually. i'm certainly not thrilled that all the halfways decent parties want to ban gmos.

I'm undecided as well. Have been considering voting for "Die Partei" for the lulz....

Vote CDU.

I may, but your recommendation doesn't exactly strengthen the argument for doing so.

[EPG]

Farage appeals to the same British base as other populist right-wingers. The Conservatives are a middle-class, but non-pro-European, party which would otherwise fit perfectly well in the right-wing of the EPP. They have strange bedfellows at the moment, but everybody has strange bedfellows in the EP.

[Tender Branson]

The Washington Post has an article about the FPÖ:

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[freek]

Expected result for the Netherlands by Peil.nl/Maurice de Hond (based on latest poll for the Second Chamber):



'kleine kans' = small chance, 'grote kans' = large chance.

[republicanbayer]

I doubt that the AfD, DPP and PS will join the ECR in its current form since the turkish AKP is a member of the AECR.

[Enno von Loewenstern]

I doubt that the AfD, DPP and PS will join the ECR in its current form since the turkish AKP is a member of the AECR.

AfD do not need to become member of AECR, to be a member of ECR group.
The whole situation is rather unclear until now. Today, the SPIEGEL reports that the talks between AfD and the Tory MEP went well, but that Cameron was forced by Merkel to promise not to do so.
So, nothing really new.

[justfollowingtheelections]

New poll from Greece (an exit poll from the municipal/periphery elections):

SYRIZA 27.4
ND 22.7
Golden Dawn 8.7
Potami 8.1
KKE 6.4
Elia 6.2
ANEL 4
DIMAR 1.4
Others 7.3
Undecided 7.8

And the exit polls for the Attica periphery:


and the Athens mayoral race:


The SYRIZA candidates as I mentioned in the predictions thread exceeded expectations while the ND candidates failed miserably.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Various recent polls of the UK...

YouGov/Sunday Times: Labour 27, UKIP 26, Con 23, LDem 9, Greens 9
ICM/Sunday Telegraph: Labour 29, Con 26, UKIP 25, LDem 7, Greens ?
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent on Sunday: UKIP 35, Labour 24, Con 20, Greens 7, LDem 6
YouGov/The Sun: Labour 28, UKIP 25, Con 22, LDem 10, Greens 10

[Tender Branson]

Chancellor Faymann (SPÖ) set a state reception today for Conchita (who won the Song Contest), probably to get his fair share of publicity ahead of the election and some coattails from her victory ...





It certainly helps if you take pictures with someone who has a 80% favorable rating now ...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

While it could certainly be argued that the Eurovision Song Contest is of more importance than the European Elections, general discussion of it and of the specific controversies of this year should be discussed in the off topic board, not here.