2014 Gubernatorial Predictions (user search)
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Latest 2014 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
jamesyons (R-VA)MapProfile 10-23 11 I +1 22 (0) 13 (-1) 1 (+1) 0
ryer (R-VA)Map 11-02 3 R +4 26 (+4) 10 (-4) 0 (0) 0
Timothy87 (R-VA)MapProfile 11-04 4 Even 23 (+1) 12 (-2) 1 (+1) 0
Impy (R-IL)MapProfile 11-02 1 R +4 26 (+4) 10 (-4) 0 (0) 0
JonathanSwift (R-GA)MapProfile 11-03 11 Even 20 (-2) 15 (+1) 1 (+1) 0
axlee73 (I-GA)Map 11-04 6 I +1 21 (-1) 14 (0) 1 (+1) 0
Mark Warner 08 (I-AUT)MapProfile 11-04 8 D +2 19 (-3) 16 (+2) 1 (+1) 0
Reaganfan (R-OH)MapProfile 11-04 1 I +1 21 (-1) 14 (0) 1 (+1) 0
bore (O-GBR)MapProfile 11-02 1 I +1 21 (-1) 14 (0) 1 (+1) 0
boyohio02 (O-CA)Map 11-03 5 I +1 21 (-1) 14 (0) 1 (+1) 0
Latest 2014 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
ThePoliticalGuy (D-CA)MapProfile 11-04 15 Even 20 (-2) 15 (+1) 1 (+1) 0
thornestorm (G-CA)Map 11-04 2 D +5 16 (-6) 19 (+5) 1 (+1) 0
Wilbur84 (I-MA)MapProfile 11-04 6 D +2 20 (-2) 16 (+2) 0 (0) 0
Political Lefty (D-CA)MapProfile 11-04 1 D +3 18 (-4) 17 (+3) 1 (+1) 0
Gass3268 (D-MD)MapProfile 11-04 2 D +5 16 (-6) 19 (+5) 1 (+1) 0
BrandenCordeiro (--AFG)MapProfile 11-04 10 R +2 24 (+2) 11 (-3) 1 (+1) 0
Olawakandi (G-CA)MapProfile 11-04 402 D +8 13 (-9) 22 (+8) 1 (+1) 0
Liberalrocks (D-CA)MapProfile 11-04 53 D +4 17 (-5) 18 (+4) 1 (+1) 0
ilikeverin (D-NY)MapProfile 11-04 1 D +1 21 (-1) 15 (+1) 0 (0) 0
MilesC56 (I-VA)MapProfile 11-04 31 D +3 18 (-4) 17 (+3) 1 (+1) 0
Latest 2014 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
ifhgsfj (D-MD)
by ifhgsfj on 2015-07-24 @ 21:21:36
MapProfile 03-18 1 I +1 21 (-1) 13 (0) 2 (+1) 2
MATTROSE94 (D-NJ)
by MATTROSE94 on 2014-11-10 @ 10:47:04
MapProfile 11-03 30 I +1 21 (-1) 14 (0) 1 (+1) 1
colin (I-ON)
by colin on 2014-11-05 @ 00:27:04
MapProfile 11-03 12 R +2 24 (+2) 12 (-2) 0 (0) 1
nyancat (R-CA)
by nyancat on 2014-11-04 @ 02:08:01
MapProfile 11-04 10 D +2 19 (-3) 16 (+2) 1 (+1) 1
BushCountry (I-IN)
by BushCountry on 2014-11-04 @ 00:06:55
MapProfile 11-04 31 I +1 22 (0) 13 (-1) 1 (+1) 1
nyancat (R-CA)
by nyancat on 2014-11-02 @ 17:08:31
MapProfile 11-02 9 Even 20 (-2) 15 (+1) 1 (+1) 1
Olawakandi (G-CA)
by MATTROSE94 on 2014-11-01 @ 15:22:36
MapProfile 10-16 386 D +8 13 (-9) 22 (+8) 1 (+1) 1
mphacker (I-WI)
by wifikitten on 2014-10-27 @ 10:59:33
Map 10-27 1 D +2 19 (-3) 16 (+2) 1 (+1) 1
wifikitten (D-MO)
by RMH8824 on 2014-10-27 @ 10:59:01
MapProfile 10-19 29 D +2 19 (-3) 16 (+2) 1 (+1) 2
nyancat (R-CA)
by nyancat on 2014-10-26 @ 14:53:08
MapProfile 10-26 8 I +1 21 (-1) 14 (0) 1 (+1) 1
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2014 Gubernatorial Predictions  (Read 321498 times)
Anti Democrat Democrat Club
SawxDem
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Posts: 14,094
United States


« on: April 25, 2013, 01:38:33 AM »

Alabama: Robert Bentley (R)
Alaska: Sean Parnell (R)
Arizona: Ken Bennett (R)
Arkansas: Mike Ross (D)
California: Jerry Brown (D)
Colorado: John Hickenlooper (D)
Connecticut: Dan Malloy (D)
Florida: Rick Scott (R)
Georgia: Nathan Deal (R)
Hawaii: Neil Abercrombie (D)
Idaho: Butch Otter (R)
Illinois: Lisa Madigan (D)
Iowa: Terry Branstad (R)
Kansas: Sam Brownback (R)
Maine: Paul LePage (R)
Maryland: Anthony Brown (D)
Massachusetts: Mike Capuano (D)
Michigan: Mark Schauer (D)
Minnesota: Mark Dayton (D)
Nebraska: Mike Foley (R)
Nevada: Brian Sandoval (R)
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan (D)
New Mexico: Susana Martinez (R)
New York: Andrew Cuomo (D)
Ohio: John Kasich (R)
Oklahoma: Mary Fallin (R)
Oregon: John Kitzhaber (D)
Pennsylvania: Allyson Schwartz (D)
Rhode Island: Gina Raimondo (D)
South Carolina: Nikki Haley (R)
South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard (R)
Tennessee: Bill Haslam (R)
Texas: Greg Abbott (R)
Vermont: Peter Shumlin (D)
Wisconsin: Scott Walker (R)
Wyoming: Matt Mead (R)
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Anti Democrat Democrat Club
SawxDem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,094
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 23, 2013, 12:38:47 AM »

It might be a bit optimistic, but I'll give it a try:

Alabama: Robert Bentley (R)
Alaska: Sean Parnell (R)
Arizona: Neil Giuliano (D)
Arkansas: Asa Hutchinson (R)
California: Jerry Brown(Gavin Newsom, if Brown declines to run) (D)
Colorado: John Hickenlooper (D)
Connecticut: Thomas C. Foley (R)
Florida: Alex Sink (D)
Georgia: Nathan Deal (R)
Hawaii: James Aiona (R)
Idaho: Raśl Labrador (R)
Illinois: Aaron Shock (R)
Iowa: Terry Branstad (R)
Kansas: Sam Brownback (R)
Maine: Paul LePage (R)
Maryland: Michael Steele (R)
Massachusetts: Scott Brown (R)
Michigan: Stacy Erwin Oakes (D)
Minnesota: Mark Dayton (D)
Nebraska: Don Stenberg (R)
Nevada: Brian Sandoval (R)
New Hampshire: Charles Bass (R)
New Mexico: Susana Martinez (R)
New York: Andrew Cuomo (D)
Ohio: John Kasich (R)
Oklahoma: Mary Fallin(R)
Oregon: John Kitzhaber (D)
Pennsylvania: Allyson Schwartz (D)
Rhode Island: Patrick C. Lynch (D)
South Carolina: Nikki Haley (R)
South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard (R)
Tennessee: Bill Haslam (R)
Texas: Greg Abbott (R)
Vermont: Peter Shumlin (D)
Wisconsin: Russ Feingold (D)
Wyoming: Matt Mead (R)

Agreed- too optimistic! Your Arkansas, Connecticut, Maryland, and Massachusetts predictions are quite good, but your Hawaii, Illinois, and New Hampshire ones are laughable. Quinn is certainly vulnerable, but even Quinn would beat Schock. Remember that it's Illinois- moderate Republicans are formidable, but someone as conservative as Schock has no chance statewide. Dillard and Rutheford could definitely beat Quinn. However, the likelihood of Quinn even being in the race seems small. Daley v Dillard and Daley v Rutheford would be toss-up/lean D; Madigan v Dillard and Madigan v Rutheford would be Safe D.

I'll agree with NH (Bass strikes me more as someone who's more interested in Senate than Governorship, plus Hassan has been doing a good job anyway), but I firmly disagree on Hawaii and Illinois. Abercrombie and Quinn are HATED, and Quinn is running. Madigan was never really chomping at the bit, and Daley declaring leads me to believe that Madigan isn't interested at all. Probably raising money for a future run (maybe 2016?). Daley will have a rougher time getting past Quinn (although if he does the race Leans Democratic), and if he doesn't, the only thing that can save him is Rutherford's awkward speaking skills and general lack of savvy (from what I've heard). Djou is more moderate (no idea about Aiona, haven't looked much into him).
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