2014 Senatorial Predictions (user search)
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Latest 2014 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
K.Dobrev (O-BGR)MapProfile 11-04 1 R +8 23 (+8) 13 (-8) 0 (0) 0
Juin (R-CO)MapProfile 11-03 32 R +8 23 (+8) 13 (-8) 0 (0) 0
ryer (R-VA)Map 11-02 3 R +10 25 (+10) 11 (-10) 0 (0) 0
kgt107 ()Map 10-21 1 R +9 24 (+9) 12 (-9) 0 (0) 0
jamesyons (R-VA)MapProfile 10-23 10 R +8 23 (+8) 13 (-8) 0 (0) 0
Oldiesfreak1854 (R-MI)MapProfile 10-31 13 R +8 23 (+8) 13 (-8) 0 (0) 0
PandaExpress (D-JPN)MapProfile 11-01 2 R +7 22 (+7) 14 (-7) 0 (0) 0
deus naturae (L-NY)MapProfile 11-02 6 R +8 23 (+8) 13 (-8) 0 (0) 0
liberal96 (D-NY)MapProfile 11-03 8 R +8 23 (+8) 13 (-8) 0 (0) 0
dmurphy1984 (R-NY)Map 11-03 2 R +9 24 (+9) 12 (-9) 0 (0) 1
Latest 2014 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
Ben Kenobi ()MapProfile 11-04 1 R +12 27 (+12) 9 (-12) 0 (0) 0
Gass3268 (D-MD)MapProfile 11-04 2 R +6 21 (+6) 14 (-7) 1 (+1) 0
ThePoliticalGuy (D-CA)MapProfile 11-04 20 R +6 21 (+6) 14 (-7) 1 (+1) 0
Olawakandi (G-CA)MapProfile 11-04 435 Even 16 (+1) 19 (-2) 1 (+1) 0
albaleman (D-MN)MapProfile 11-04 8 R +5 20 (+5) 15 (-6) 1 (+1) 0
ground_x (D-NY)MapProfile 11-04 5 R +4 19 (+4) 16 (-5) 1 (+1) 0
MilesC56 (I-VA)MapProfile 11-04 37 R +6 21 (+6) 15 (-6) 0 (0) 0
ilikeverin (D-NY)MapProfile 11-04 1 R +7 22 (+7) 14 (-7) 0 (0) 0
Xiivi (D-FRA)MapProfile 11-04 5 R +7 22 (+7) 13 (-8) 1 (+1) 0
benconstine (D-VA)MapProfile 11-04 9 R +7 22 (+7) 14 (-7) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2014 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
slick67 (R-SC)
by slick67 on 2014-12-10 @ 08:29:37
MapProfile 11-03 21 R +10 25 (+10) 11 (-10) 0 (0) 1
nkpolitics1279 (D-MA)
by nkpolitics1279 on 2014-12-04 @ 13:19:50
MapProfile 10-19 97 R +7 22 (+7) 13 (-8) 1 (+1) 6
colin (I-ON)
by KS21 on 2014-11-20 @ 08:45:47
MapProfile 10-25 17 R +10 25 (+10) 11 (-10) 0 (0) 6
MATTROSE94 (D-NJ)
by MATTROSE94 on 2014-11-10 @ 10:44:28
MapProfile 10-30 38 R +7 22 (+7) 14 (-7) 0 (0) 1
dmurphy1984 (R-NY)
by dmurphy1984 on 2014-11-05 @ 05:41:19
Map 11-03 2 R +9 24 (+9) 12 (-9) 0 (0) 1
nyancat (R-CA)
by nyancat on 2014-11-04 @ 01:58:43
MapProfile 11-04 10 R +8 23 (+8) 13 (-8) 0 (0) 1
IceSpear (D-PA)
by IceSpear on 2014-11-04 @ 01:02:42
MapProfile 11-04 22 R +6 21 (+6) 14 (-7) 1 (+1) 2
BushCountry (I-IN)
by wingindy on 2014-11-04 @ 00:29:01
MapProfile 11-03 34 R +6 21 (+6) 14 (-7) 1 (+1) 5
Olawakandi (G-CA)
by nyancat on 2014-11-02 @ 17:16:21
MapProfile 11-02 433 R +2 17 (+2) 18 (-3) 1 (+1) 1
nyancat (R-CA)
by nyancat on 2014-11-02 @ 16:44:11
MapProfile 11-02 9 R +7 22 (+7) 13 (-8) 1 (+1) 1
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2014 Senatorial Predictions  (Read 225442 times)
International Brotherhood of Bernard
interstate73
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 651


« on: February 16, 2014, 04:49:07 PM »
« edited: February 17, 2014, 12:39:16 AM by interstate73 »

Alabama - Jeff Sessions
Alaska - Mark Begich (slew of right wing indies and a potential Miller nomination will pull him over the line)
Arkansas - Tom Cotton R+1 (Luck has run out for Arkansas Dems, and Cotton is a compelling candidate)
Colorado - Mark Udall
Delaware - Chris Coons
Georgia - Michelle Nunn D+1 (The GOP field is a sh**t sandwich, and if Nunn is still leading after the Obamacare rollout fiasco then I like her chances)
Hawaii Class III - Brian Schatz (I have confidence he'll beat Hanabusa in the primary, but it's safer than Safe D no matter who Dems nominate)
Idaho - Jim Risch
Illinois - Dick Durbin
Iowa - Bruce Braley (Like Georgia, the GOP field is a sh**t sandwich and that will throw it to Braley)
Kansas - Pat Roberts (I do, however, think he'll lose renomination if someone of higher caliber than Milton Wolfe jumps in)
Kentucky - Alison Lundergan Grimes D+1 (She's proven that she has appeal in Coal Country and Obamacare is working exceedingly well in Kentucky, to the detriment of the viciously anti-Obamacare McConnell)
Louisiana - Mary Landrieu (Even if it does go to a runoff, Landrieu has pulled it off before. Remember "Operation Icing on the Cake"?)
Maine - Susan Collins
Massachusetts - Ed Markey
Michigan - Gary Peters (His deficits now are likely due to low name recognition, and the polls may be under-sampling the Detroit metro)
Minnesota - Al Franken
Mississippi - Chris McDaniel (Cochran will go down easy in the primary, but it could go to Childers if he ends up saying something so mind-numbingly, ear-meltingly offensive that even Mississippi won't want him, which is certainly possible given his previous record)
Montana - Steve Daines R+1 (Walsh will put up a solid fight, but this one is gone barring a Libertarian peeling off enough Republican votes to throw it our way like in 2012)
Nebraska - Shane Osborn
New Hampshire - Jeanne Shaheen (Scott Brown is just looking for attention with his potential Senate bid, and even if he does go for it the attack ads will write themselves and he might not even make it out of the primary)
New Jersey - Cory Booker
New Mexico - Tom Udall
North Carolina - Kay Hagan (She needs to thank God every second of every day for giving her such sh**tty opponents, otherwise she'd be gone in a heartbeat)
Oklahoma - Jim Inhofe
Oklahoma Class III - Jim Lankford
Oregon - Jeff Merkley
Rhode Island - Jack Reed
South Carolina - Lee Bright (Graham doesn't have a snowball's chance in hell in a primary runoff)
South Carolina Class III - Tim Scott
South Dakota - Mike Rounds R+1 (Could change if Weiland drops out and endorses Pressler)
Tennessee - Lamar Alexander
Texas - John Cornyn
Virginia - Mark Warner (The Beltway Press's constant fluffing of Gillespie is quite humorous)
West Virginia - Shelly Moore Capito R+1 (Like Arkansas, luck has run out for West Virginia Dems)
Wyoming Mike Enzi

So that's 2 Dem pickups and 4 GOP pickups, for a net change of R+2, leaving us with a 53D-47R Senate.
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
interstate73
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 651


« Reply #1 on: April 17, 2014, 01:56:37 PM »

Alabama: Jeff Sessions (Republican)
Alaska: Dan Sullivan (Republican)
Arkansas: Tom Cotton (Republican)
Colorado: Corey Gardner (Republican)

Delaware: Chris Coons (Democrat)
Georgia: David Perdue (Republican)
Hawaii special: Brian Schatz (Democrat)
Idaho: Jim Risch (Republican)
Illinois: Dick Durbin (Democrat)
Iowa: Joni Ernst (Republican)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (Republican)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (Republican)
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy (Republican)
Maine: Susan Collins (Republican)
Massachusetts: Ed Markey (Democrat)
Michigan: Terri Lyn Land (Republican)
Minnesota: Al Franken (Democrat)
Mississippi: Chris McDaniel (Republican)
Montana: Steve Daines (Republican)
Nebraska: Dave Heineman (Republican)
New Hampshire: Scott Brown (Republican)
New Jersey: Cory Booker (Democrat)
New Mexico: Tom Udall (Democrat)

North Carolina: Thom Tillis (Republican)
Oklahoma: Jim Inhofe (Republican)
Oklahoma (Special Election): James Lankford (Republican)

Oregon: Jeff Merkley (Democrat)
Rhode Island: Jack Reed (Democrat)
South Carolina: Lee Bright (Republican)
South Carolina special: Tim Scott (Republican)

South Dakota: Mike Rounds (Republican)
Tennessee: Joe Carr (Republican)
Texas: John Cornyn (Republican)
Virginia: Mark Warner (Democrat)
West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito (Republican)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (Republican)

All in all, the Senate races will turn out badly for the Democrats. In 2016, however, there is a strong possibility that the Democrats will regain the Senate due to the fact that many vulnerable Republicans first elected in 2010 are up for re-election in states that will likely go Democratic in the Presidential race.
That's awfully pessimistic, things just aren't that dire and if anything the mood is improving for Democrats.
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