VA-Roanoke College: Cuccinelli (R) by 7, but more than 40% undecided

[Tender Branson]

In the likely matchup in November's gubernatorial election, more Virginians are undecided (41%) in their choice for Governor, than those who support Republican Ken Cuccinelli (33%) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe (26%).

Including a possible run by Bill Bolling as an Independent increases the percentage of respondents who are undecided (44%), followed by those who support Cuccinelli (25%), McAuliffe (19%), and Bolling (12%).

The Roanoke College Poll interviewed 583 Virginia residents between Jan. 14 and Jan. 22 and has a margin of error of +4.1 percent.

http://roanoke.edu/News_and_Events/Campus_News/RC_Poll_January_2013.htm

PS: Roanoke College was "just off" by about 10 points in the 2012 VA Presidential election ...

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Yeah, no

[ajc0918]

So many undecideds

[sg0508]

Don't be surprised if this looks like the WA Gov race as it is every cycle.  The GOP leads and then in Q4, starting in late Sept, the wave of democratic support comes home and that's that.

[tmthforu94]

Don't be surprised if this looks like the WA Gov race as it is every cycle.  The GOP leads and then in Q4, starting in late Sept, the wave of democratic support comes home and that's that.

What makes you think that will occur?

Don't be surprised if this looks like the VA Gov race as it was in 2009. The GOP leads and then in Q4, starting in late Sept, the wave republican support comes home and that's that.

[Badger]

Don't be surprised if this looks like the WA Gov race as it is every cycle.  The GOP leads and then in Q4, starting in late Sept, the wave of democratic support comes home and that's that.

What makes you think that will occur?
Z
Don't be surprised if this looks like the VA Gov race as it was in 2009. The GOP leads and then in Q4, starting in late Sept, the wave republican support comes home and that's that.

Why would we believe either of these scenaios? This is a +0 pvi state either way,and a governors race to boot. Litterally anything could happen.

[pbrower2a]

Don't be surprised if this looks like the WA Gov race as it is every cycle.  The GOP leads and then in Q4, starting in late Sept, the wave of democratic support comes home and that's that.

What makes you think that will occur?

Don't be surprised if this looks like the VA Gov race as it was in 2009. The GOP leads and then in Q4, starting in late Sept, the wave republican support comes home and that's that.

The last Democratic nominee for Governor was a very weak candidate.

[Gass3268]

Didn't the Roanoke poll vastly overestimate Romney's support last year?

[You kip if you want to...]

Don't be surprised if this looks like the WA Gov race as it is every cycle.  The GOP leads and then in Q4, starting in late Sept, the wave of democratic support comes home and that's that.

What makes you think that will occur?

Don't be surprised if this looks like the VA Gov race as it was in 2009. The GOP leads and then in Q4, starting in late Sept, the wave republican support comes home and that's that.

The last Democratic nominee for Governor was a very weak candidate.

And McAuliffe is a brilliant candidate?

That said, he's neutralised by Cuccinelli being crap as well.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Believe me, there is NO way that Cuccinelli beats McAuliffe.  He's much too far-right on social issues to carry the DC suburbs, so McAuliffe will crush him there, thereby giving him the election.  I highly doubt this poll is accurate, but it's still early, so there's really no way tell until the election gets closer.

[Devils30]

This is the same firm that had Romney winning Virginia by 5 last fall.
http://roanoke.edu/News_and_Events/Campus_News/RC_Poll_October_31_2012.htm

When you make the 9 point adjustment you get McAuliffe by 2 which lines up with most polls.

[pbrower2a]

This is the same firm that had Romney winning Virginia by 5 last fall.
http://roanoke.edu/News_and_Events/Campus_News/RC_Poll_October_31_2012.htm

When you make the 9 point adjustment you get McAuliffe by 2 which lines up with most polls.

If one must make a 9% adjustment one has an unreliable pollster.

[Eraserhead]

Sucks to be Virginia. I mean, having to choose between these two...