2012: Obama vs (More Competent) Romney
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  2012: Obama vs (More Competent) Romney
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Author Topic: 2012: Obama vs (More Competent) Romney  (Read 1167 times)
JRP1994
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« on: March 01, 2013, 08:08:13 PM »

Obama faces Romney in the general election, with these changes:

1) Romney secures the GOP nomination in March - moving to the right, but without making any gaffes (no bet with Perry, no Etch-a-Sketch comment.)

2) Romney does not make the 47% comment.

3) Romney actually looks confident and presidential on his foreign trip, avoiding any major gaffes.

4) Romney chooses Rob Portman as his running mate in mid-August.

5) The attack on the consulate in Benghazi does not occur.

6) Romney performs as well in the 2nd and 3rd debates as he does in the 1st one.

7) No hurricane Sandy.

Does Romney win the popular vote, and does he win enough states to carry the EC (which would probably require a 5.3% swing in Colorado). Discuss with maps.
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Siloch
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« Reply #1 on: March 02, 2013, 07:09:56 AM »

Obama faces Romney in the general election, with these changes:

1) Romney secures the GOP nomination in March - moving to the right, but without making any gaffes (no bet with Perry, no Etch-a-Sketch comment.)

2) Romney does not make the 47% comment.

3) Romney actually looks confident and presidential on his foreign trip, avoiding any major gaffes.

4) Romney chooses Rob Portman as his running mate in mid-August.

5) The attack on the consulate in Benghazi does not occur.

6) Romney performs as well in the 2nd and 3rd debates as he does in the 1st one.

7) No hurricane Sandy.

Does Romney win the popular vote, and does he win enough states to carry the EC (which would probably require a 5.3% swing in Colorado). Discuss with maps.

This would be Romney's best chance of victory.



Rep - 275
Dem - 263
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Obamanation
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« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2013, 07:54:07 AM »

Obama faces Romney in the general election, with these changes:

1) Romney secures the GOP nomination in March - moving to the right, but without making any gaffes (no bet with Perry, no Etch-a-Sketch comment.)

2) Romney does not make the 47% comment.

3) Romney actually looks confident and presidential on his foreign trip, avoiding any major gaffes.

4) Romney chooses Rob Portman as his running mate in mid-August.

5) The attack on the consulate in Benghazi does not occur.

6) Romney performs as well in the 2nd and 3rd debates as he does in the 1st one.

7) No hurricane Sandy.

Does Romney win the popular vote, and does he win enough states to carry the EC (which would probably require a 5.3% swing in Colorado). Discuss with maps.

This would be Romney's best chance of victory.



Rep - 275
Dem - 263

Romney would carry Virginia and Ohio before Minnesota...
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Siloch
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« Reply #3 on: March 03, 2013, 09:38:43 AM »

Romney would carry Virginia and Ohio before Minnesota...

Virginia is gone for the GOP and Obama was too strong with the autobailout.
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Sol
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« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2013, 10:02:01 AM »

Romney would carry Virginia and Ohio before Minnesota...

Virginia is gone for the GOP and Obama was too strong with the autobailout.
Virginia is not gone for the GOP yet. Just because it's going in the way of Maryland doesn't mean it is unwinnable.
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Siloch
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« Reply #5 on: March 03, 2013, 10:15:28 AM »

Virginia is not gone for the GOP yet. Just because it's going in the way of Maryland doesn't mean it is unwinnable.

Actually Virginia going the way of Maryland does mean it is unwinnable because Maryland is unwinnable, when Fairfax, Loudon, Prince William start voting with margins like Montgomery, Howard, Baltimore etc there is no way the GOP can win VA and those counties are trending Democratic but we will need to wait for 2016 to see, I don't think I will be proved wrong however.
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Undecided Voter in the Midwest
Ghost of Tilden
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« Reply #6 on: March 04, 2013, 10:44:19 AM »

My guess...

This election is much closer, but Obama finally clinches it when Colorado and Virginia go his way. Romney picks up Ohio and Florida but comes up just a little short.



Obama: 285
Romney: 253
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Blackacre
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« Reply #7 on: March 04, 2013, 07:01:48 PM »

The election becomes what the media was portraying it as all along: a very close race. I agree with Tilden's map, though.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #8 on: March 16, 2013, 04:40:23 PM »



Romney/Portman      275
Obama/Biden           263
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lincolnwall
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« Reply #9 on: March 21, 2013, 12:29:24 AM »

Romney/Portman      275
Obama/Biden           263

I agree with this result the most, except I don't think Romney could have pulled off a 6 point swing from RL Colorado. Romney gained 3 percentage points there from McCain, so even with all the advantages Romney has in this scenario he would have had to double that gain. Obama would still win Colorado narrowly.

Obama/Biden       272
Romney/Portman 266
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NHI
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« Reply #10 on: March 24, 2013, 04:26:11 PM »

Romney/Portman: 270 (49.2%)
Obama/Biden: 268 (48.9%)
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