pbrower2a
Atlas Star
Posts: 26,841
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« on: February 13, 2013, 01:40:25 PM » |
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So much for the idea that Mary Landrieu is vulnerable. If she has 47% approval at the same time next year, she has about a 75% or so chance of winning re-election. The typical gain from approval to vote share is about 6% for the usual incumbent Governor or Senator.
...this may not be germane to the election of 2014, but it would seem that more people seem to forget that they voted for Mitt Romney than for Barack Obama:
Q16 In the last presidential election, did you vote for Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Barack Obama................................................ 40% Mitt Romney.................................................... 54% Someone else/Don't remember ...................... 5%
The state split roughly 57.5-40.5 between them in 2012.
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