NC-PPP: Hagan leads all by at least 5

[Obamanation]

Approve..............39%
Disapprove..........38%



Hagan....................45%
Patrick McHenry......40%

Hagan...................49%
Phil Berger.............38%

Hagan....................46%
Cherie Berry...........38%

Hagan....................48%
Greg Brannon..........35%

Hagan....................47%
Renee Elmers.........38%

Hagan....................48%
Terry Embler...........33%

Hagan....................48%
Virginia Foxx...........38%

Hagan.....................46%
George Holding........36%

Hagan....................46%
Thom Tillis...............38%


GOP Primary

Phil Berger..............7%
Cherie Berry...........18%
Greg Brannon.........5%
Renee Elmers.........10%
Terry Embler............1%
Virginia Foxx............16%
George Holding........3%
Patrick McHenry.......10%
Thom Tillis................3%

Undecided...............27%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_021213.pdf

[Maxwell]

This should not be overly satisfying numbers. McHenry could make this very competitive should he run. Plus it seems her margins keep decreasing, though those margin decreases are within the margin of error, but still.

[DrScholl]

These are the same type of numbers Burr had in 2009, but still he won re-election.

[tmthforu94]

These are the same type of numbers Burr had in 2009, but still he won re-election.

That increase was largely due to a more favorable environment. That's the thing - it's hard to tell how these races will turn out because we don't know what the environment will be.

If the environment is even close to what 2010 was, I don't see Hagan making it through. These numbers aren't solid enough to get her through what could be a tough midterm.

[Maxwell]

If the environment is even close to what 2010 was, I don't see Hagan making it through.

I don't think it will be, unfortunately. Nevertheless, I think she barely hangs on to her seat, should someone not named Virginia Foxx be nominated.

[tmthforu94]

If the environment is even close to what 2010 was, I don't see Hagan making it through.

I don't think it will be, unfortunately. Nevertheless, I think she barely hangs on to her seat, should someone not named Virginia Foxx be nominated.

Wait, why does everyone think Foxx may run? I keep seeing her name brought up, has she indicated she will? She'll be over 70 on Election Day.

[Miles]

If the environment is even close to what 2010 was, I don't see Hagan making it through.

I don't think it will be, unfortunately. Nevertheless, I think she barely hangs on to her seat, should someone not named Virginia Foxx be nominated.

Wait, why does everyone think Foxx may run? I keep seeing her name brought up, has she indicated she will? She'll be over 70 on Election Day.

Its just her relatively high name rec. I think the Foxx stuff is just hot air.

[Miles]

These are the same type of numbers Burr had in 2009, but still he won re-election.

If the environment is even close to what 2010 was, I don't see Hagan making it through. These numbers aren't solid enough to get her through what could be a tough midterm.

Well, don't forget that the DSCC pretty much punted on NC in 2010. Hagan benefit from being the incumbent and having massive personal $$$.

[Holmes]

Team Hagan. She'll pull through easily.