I really wish the color coding would be consistent.
Eric and I are measuring different things.
1. He has maps for swings, which I do not have.
2. He is averaging polls; I do not average polls unless the polls are within a week from each other. I normally replace polls with new ones.
3. I reject polls that seem grossly out of line (unless someone corroborates them) and any in which someone leads with less than 40% of the vote. Thus I have no poll from New Hampshire, the poll that Eric accepted being something like a 38-37 poll.
4. Check the legends on any maps that either of us make.
I'm talking about Eric's maps because in some parts of the post he uses red to represent Clinton, and in some parts he uses blue to represent Clinton and he should stick with one color for one candidate (not to be mean, but it just makes more sense).
Average all 32 states: Hillary vs Best Republican: D +0.5%
+2.2% D improvement (from Obama 2012) [projecting a 6.0% victory for Hillary]
Giving us this map:
