Getting ugly for Republicans. They can't win without Virginia.
They can.
They would have to win Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania... and so far I see no Republican winning all three.
I see Bernie Sanders closing in on Republicans as he gets better known... which indicates that the 2016 election does not depend upon the health of Hillary Clinton anymore.
A Republican win in 2016 will depend upon Obama failure. Failure to convince people who were never going to support him under any circumstances is not failure. An economic meltdown, a military debacle, or a diplomatic catastrophe would singly be enough.
Even one of the President's harshest critics, Karl Rove, admits that the President is "cautious".
If the GOP wins all the Romney states + Florida, Ohio, Colorado, New Hampshire and Iowa they win 272-266. Would be pretty hard, but still possible. And if Sandoval is on the ticket they might win Nevada. But it would be a lot easier for them if they manage to win Virginia or Pennsylvania.